FOX 31’s Eli Stokols lays the scene:
[A]fter Newt Gingrich’s ground-shaking, double-digit beat-down in the Palmetto State, the Republican race is suddenly competitve — and set to engage well beyond the handful of early-voting states.
It’s exactly what Colorado Republicans were hoping for when they voted to move up the party’s presidential caucues from March to Feburary.
“When we voted to move up, no one could have predicted the race would be as fluid and dynamic as it’s turned out to be,” Colorado GOP Chairman Ryan Call told FOX31 Denver Monday. “Not only will Colorado’s voice be heard — it could actually be decisive.”
Call understands that Colorado, with its caucuses wedged in, along with a few other states, between the Florida primary and Super Tuesday, is but one of a handful of states that are becoming increasingly important to the four remaining GOP candidates.
But there’s a new problem emerging for the solidly pro-Mitt Romney upper echelons of the Colorado Republican Party as our caucuses approach next month. Romney’s campaign has been on the ground in Colorado for months working to ensure, as in 2008, that he wins here. Much has been made, both privately to us and publicly, of the sophisticated modeling and well-funded field organization meant to get Romney’s supporters in Colorado out to caucus.
Up until now, Romney’s biggest worry in Colorado was that Rep. Ron Paul’s perennially well-organized followers would deny him a clean caucus victory. This weekend, the focus will shift to Newt Gingrich as his campaign holds caucus organizing meetings around the state. Certainly the Romney campaign has had more time to organize, and has more resources.
The first step is to call everyone who pledged to support Romney, and make sure they still do…
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Flavor of the month. Everyone knows that Romney will win the nomination, because everyone loves Romney.
If only those damn ‘voters’ would just listen to their Party Elite and accept their nominee, mail in their checks, and STFU.
-Twitty channeling A Gooper.
The caucus process is always problematic for predicting the views of all the voters. It tends to be overrun with activists and small time candidates who hope to use the caucus to appear to have more support than they really do.
If Newt Gingrich does become the nominee, I will support him. But all we’ve had are a few not necessarily representative primaries. Florida will be a big test, but Romney has seen “alternatives” come and go. Romney has the staying power to keep going once Newt’s record catches up with him.
It’s just my opinion. It’s not gospel, and I’m not speaking for anybody but myself.
How many Vietnam War draft deferments are there between the leading two Republican Presidential candidates ?
Who was Obama’s cocaine dealer?
that is totally out of line. I think your mom deals meth. Again, sorry.
Arap’s mom is a crack whore, not a coke dealer; don’t ascribe coke-dealer industriousness to the genetic trash that yielded a mid-double-digit IQ like Arap.
a student back in the day. Your guys pretend to be tough, fearless patriots opposed to all that latte sipping, terrorist loving, America hating Dem wimpiness. They’re always antsy to go bomb stuff. Romney brags about how he’d handle Afghanistan by “beating them”. Their motto is “Let’s you and him go get blown up for America”.
has your dealer stopped coming through?
And it didn’t really matter last year, did it? But Romney is 1 for 3, now (and he didn’t just lose in SC, he got his butt handed to him on a Georgia platter.).
After FL he’ll be 1 for 4, I think. Santorum will drop, and slide over to Newt’s side. Then it will be Newt 2 of 4, Romney 1 of 4 and Newt’s sugar daddy super PAC can easily make up the $$ difference between he and Willard.
While I still think it is Willard’s to lose, he appears able to do that. (And in any case, Newt is now inflicting real lasting damage on Mittens….)
Ahh,. I love the smell of Napalmed GOP candidates in the morning…
Something to the effect of Newt really being a game-changer – after all, he’s in a position to help re-elect a second Democratic President.
Romney is currently doing what I thought Newt had cornered the market on – inflicting damage on himself. Today’s “banks are people, too” did himself no favors.
Through Iowa and New Hampshire, the self described conservative candidates were duking it out over who could win the majority of conservative Republicans and and thereby the Republican nomination. Not much attention was paid to Gov. Romney because no one thought he could garner a majority of the Republican vote in spite of his money and organization.
His first problem is the reduction in the number of “conservative” primary candidates. The competition for the conservative Republican primary voters is now a battle between three candidates instead of six. To win the nomination or at least go into the convention with the most delegates, he needs as many “conservative” candidates as possible to split that voting block.
Second, until South Carolina, Gov. Romney really had not received that much focused attention. Beginning with the S. Carolina primary he is now being vetted and it has taken its toll on his candidacy, especially because he isn’t capable of defending himself very well in the debates.
Finally, when the focus is on him he simply doesn’t connect with voters regardless of what kind of voters they may be . . . Republican, Democrat, Independents, conservatives or liberals. He has changed positions so many times its hard for anyone to tell where he stands but beyond that he doesn’t connect with people at the visceral level.
He could still win the nomination but I think he is fading.
I’ve been in the ground here since January 2011. (And, I’m a little hurt not to receive even the teensiest special mention — you think I’m just doing this shit for the money?)
– Diogenes channelling A Gooper.
Special mention for what?
I guess that I just don’t get the media’s attention to beauty contests. Ryan Call indicates that the Colorado caucus results “could actually be decisive.” Explain how meetings that do not have a direct impact on delegate selection can be decisive. If it is not part of the delegate selection process it has the same influence as the Iowa Straw Poll. Remember who won that one?
Unlike the Iowa Straw Poll, Colorado caucuses do provide the underlying structure by which Presidential candidates receive delegates.
The issue, of course, is that any number of candidates could drop out between the caucuses and the state convention, or a candidate could self-implode, or… Like the electoral college, the upside to this is that voters, via their delegates, get one extra chance to say “oops – that was a really dumb choice”. Not that the extra opportunities helped them when selecting Dan Maes, mind you…
pick delegates differently in Colorado. Democrats do the threshold thing with Clinton and Obama delegates grouping up to see how many delegates they get out of the precinct. Republicans take a straw poll and then elect delegates separately from that. There is officially no connection — and practically very little connection — between the straw poll and eventual delegates among Republicans here.
but not until somebody, frightened of possible retribution, suggests an even split
So Republicans don’t use their straw poll results to split delegate selection, or have potential delegates declare their candidate support before voting?
WTF is that supposed to prove, other than what we already know – that the party is dysfunctional and more about back-room deals than about retail politics?
maybe Rock the Rockies
perhaps drop an egg on the Springs?