One of the principal arguments from Republican talking heads furiously sounding the alarm over ads paid for by liberal groups targeting Republican primaries is that the candidates being promoted by these efforts are “unelectable” compared to the brass-backed candidates. In what seems like a frank acknowledgment that the issues nearest and dearest to Republican voters like abortion and re-litigating the 2020 presidential election are toxic in the general election, Republican opinionmakers and consultants are asking their voters to set aside their agenda in favor of “candidates who can win.”
Well, new polling–so new the full details haven’t been released–from Global Strategy Group of Colorado voters may be about to put a big dent in that conventional wisdom:
Reminding folk that this is a statewide survey of Colorado registered voters…
In the Gov race:
Polis currently leads Ganahl 54/37 (+17)
Polis currently leads Lopes 53/39 (+14)— Andrew Baumann (@abaumania) June 13, 2022
In the Senate race:
Bennet currently leads Hanks 50/37 (+13)
Bennet currently leads O’Dea 49/36 (+13)— Andrew Baumann (@abaumania) June 13, 2022
These poll numbers show Greg Lopez outperforming Heidi Ganahl in a head-to-head matchup against incumbent Democratic Gov. Jared Polis, much the same as Danielle Neuschwanger outpolled Ganahl in a head-to-head from the last GSG poll. In the Senate race, both Joe O’Dea and Ron Hanks perform equivalently against incumbent Sen. Michael Bennet–which perhaps doesn’t give Hanks quite as much to celebrate as Lopez, but still a result that effectively refutes the arrogant presumption from O’Dea’s supporters about their relative electability.
Assuming these numbers are accurate, it’s a huge credibility blow to the recent pushback against Democratic-aligned ads boosting so-called “unelectable” candidates. Ganahl being outperformed by Lopez against Polis, confirming the weakness shown in previous polling, is another sign that outside a few consultants being paid to promote Ganahl, she is totally failing to resonate with voters.
As for O’Dea, he’s got more money to control his fate–but what O’Dea doesn’t have is a message for Republican voters that beats Ron Hanks’ message. If anything, O’Dea is even more vulnerable than Ganahl to being upstaged on his right due to his issue stands authentically repellent to Republican voters.
Again, it doesn’t matter whether the reason is one candidate’s strength or the other’s weakness. In 2022, Republicans don’t have frontrunners in their two top statewide primaries. They have what could be the weakest “establishment” picks in years, up against grassroots opponents with a better chance than anyone gave them credit for.
And that is why Bill Owens is so unhappy.
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Democrats are playing a very dangerous game. That's all I'm going to say.
“All I am going to say”?
We should be so lucky.
Wife batterer vs. feckless coward in your gubernatorial primary.
Big Lie follower vs. candidate who realized too late he needed to wage a campaign to win the primary for your senate primary.
Repuks are playing a dangerous game with shitty candidates. But, it's symptomatic of your train wreck of a party.
Seems to me that the Republicans are playing a similar game. Over this past weekend, I received a flyer “touting” Tim Reichert in the 7th Cong. District as being unelectable due to his anti-women comments. He’s considered as the “dream candidate” to run against for the Dems.
For Colorado’s Future is a dot net website. But there is just one page and no identification of who is behind it. There is no mention of a registered agent on the website or flyer, which may not be legal. The single web page does list a post office box in Golden.
No registered agent? Some Dem lawyer’s gonna nail them for that. It’s nice to know they have money to burn on fines.
How do they tout Reichert? "He believes in Baal?"
It may be the organization "Voters for Colorado's future", raised $139,000 this year, spent most of it, registered agent Pete Walker, recent donation $9000 from Unite America PAC, recently spent $6000. Most of its funds come from Unite America PAC, and the registered agent's email is OPS@UNITEAMERICA.ORG.
Unite America PAC is not a bad organization; its mission is "democracy reform", including ranked choice voting, vote at home, open primaries, independent redistricting commissions. All of which I support. It touts itself as the PAC for Independent voters.
Don’t think that’s the one, unless it has two addresses. They also call themselves a PAC.
No mention of Baal or any of Reichert’s peccadillos. Just talk about his undescribed anti-women comments.
Dangerous game, Moderatus??
like pretending a deeply unpopular disaster of a president didn’t easily lose their reelection? Jog on, boy. You and your ilk are dangerous fascists.