It’s been a few years since I’ve done this so let’s give it a whirl:
Dems should have no problems with the top 5 statewide seats
US Senate – Bennet
Govenor – Polis
Sec of State – Griswold
Atty General – Weiser
Treasurer – Young
CD1 – Degette (D)
CD2 – Neguse (D)
CD3 – Boebert (R) – If I miss any of these, I hope it’s this one
CD4 – Buck (R)
CD5 – Lamborn (R)
CD6 – Crow (D)
CD7 – Petterson (D)
CD8 – Caraveo (D) – Only one that is not a given, I’m banking on the Libs pulling son GOP votes
State Senate:
SD1 – Pelton (R) (no Dem running)
SD3 – Hinrichsen (D) – now a swing district, but incumbency and minor R scandal should keep him in place
SD4 – Baisley (R) safe R seat, as are the next few
SD7 – Rich (R)
SD8 – Solomon (R)
SD9 – Lundeen (R)
SD11 – Exum (D) – pick-up for the D’s – this seat is very swing with a slight D lean. Hisey’s residential issues are just enough to tip the balance.
SD15 – Woodward (R) – most competitive district in the state, I’ll lean in favor of incumbency
SD20 – Cutter (D) – safe D (as are the next few)
SD22 – Danielson (D)
SD24 – Mullica (D)
SD25 – Winter (D) – this is a D pick up
SD27 – Sullivan (D) – a little competitive with a slight D lean
SD30 – Van Winkle (R) (the rest of the SDs are safe for the parties listed)
SD32 – Rodriguez (D)
SD34 – Gonzalez (D) – not even an R running (but there is an Approval Voting Party person)
SD35 – Pelton (R)
For House I’m only listing the interesting ones by name:
HD1-12 – solid Dem
HD13 – McCluskie (D) – Lean D district – Lib in race will drain off a few GOP
HD14-15 – solid Rep
HD16 – Donelson (R) – slight lean R, it’s the Springs so I’ll err on the side of the GOP
HD17 – D is only one running
HD18 – Snyder (D) – very slight D lean and open seat, only picking D because the incumbent is D
HD19 – Woog (R) – same as 18 but GOP instead of Dem
HD20-22 – safe R
HD23-24 – safe D
HD25 – Larson (R) – open seat with slight R lean, but enough – GOP pick-up
HD26 – Lukens (D) open seat but lean is a little more for Ds than 25 was for Rs
HD27 – safe D
HD28 – Emm (D) open seat with just enough lean for Ds to keep it
HD29-37 – safe D
HD38 – Ortiz (D) – kind of competitive, but incumbency has its advantages
HD39 – safe R
HD40-42 – Safe D
HD43-45 – safe R
HD46 – Mauro (D) – fairly strong D (but that’s fading)
HD47-48 – safe R
HD49-50 – safe D
HD51 – safe R
HD52-53 – safe D
HD54-56 – safe R
HD59 – McLachlan (D) – leans D, incumbency should take him rest of the way
HD60 – safe R
HD61 – Hamrick (D) – very competitive – I’m going with the slightly better name recognition
HD62 – safe D
HD63-65 – safe R
So, if I’m right that would be 1 D pick-up in the Senate and 1 GOP pick-up in the House. Neither is earth-shattering
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