Republican Erik Aadland is sinking fast, and he has finally realized that national Republicans will not be extending any branches to save him.
Aadland is a full-fledged election denier who began the 2022 election cycle as a candidate for U.S. Senate before switching metaphorical horses and capturing the GOP nominee for Congress in CO-07 (Jefferson County-ish) for the right to take on Democrat Brittany Pettersen.
Aadland used his “Big Lie” beliefs to garner enough Republican support to win the June 28th Primary, but his subsequent efforts to scrub away the MAGA went over about as well as Joe O’Dea pouring a Michelob Ultra into a glass of ice. Aadland has struggled to raise money for his campaign, but even if he had the resources to reach more voters, it’s not clear that he has a coherent message for them anyway. National Republicans have been pouring money into Colorado’s eighth congressional district but have largely ignored CO-07 because of its Democratic-leaning electorate and Pettersen’s strong, well-financed campaign operation.
As The Colorado Times Recorder explains today via Twitter, the reality of Aadland’s situation is sinking in (pun intended):
Some Colorado Republicans have attempted to make the ridiculous argument that Democratic spending in CO-07 is a sign that Aadland is doing well, but Aadland’s admission today correctly blows up that strained logic. National Republicans (or Democrats) don’t expend resources in races that they don’t think they can win.
None of this should come as a surprise to anyone not sipping the MAGA Kool-Aid. Aadland is a completely-unknown candidate who has been running a middling campaign against a well-known and well-prepared Democratic opponent. He kept hope of national help alive for as long as he reasonably could, but you can’t rely on big lies about your own lack of movement forever.
For Aadland, the end is near here.
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Let's not write his obituary quite yet. If the wave that is being predicted strikes, this guy could still win CD-7. The lines have been drawn to make it less Democratic friendly. (Thank you, bipartisan redistricting commission for giving us competitive districts.)
Dems best case scenario is 4/4 split with Dems keeping CD-1, 2, 6, and 7, losing the other four.
Worst case scenario: 5/3 with GOP taking CD-3, 4, 5, 7 and 8.
Sadly, I agree with all that. When Jena Griswold's campaign went to be with Jesus, I took the end-of-the-line money I had allocated for her and sent it to Peterson's campaign instead. I can't remember the last time I lived in an congressional district represented by a GOPer, and I sure as shit don't want this Aadland clown to end the streak.
What wave are you expecting?
Cook Political Report says Colorado House incumbents are safe. CO-7 as "Likely Democrat" and CO-8 a "Republican Toss-Up"
Sabato's Crystal Ball Updated: Oct. 19, 2022 Has CO-8 "Toss-Up Democrat", CO-7 Leans Democrat, CO-3 as "Likely Republican", and all the other incumbents as "Safe."
538.com has incumbents as nearly sure things, CO-7 as 87/100 win for D; CO-8 as 86/100 for R.
Given the internecine R on R revolt, the lack of coattails from the top end of the ballots, and so much more, I have a hard time seeing Republicans doing even as well as they did in 2018.
Hope springs eternal….
I'm one of the 7th District common sense conservatives that Aadland should be at least trying to impress.
His MAGA and election denying doesn't cut it with me.
But he loves the environment. I saw it on one of his TV commercials. You don't buy it?![wink wink](https://www.coloradopols.com/wp-content/plugins/ark-wysiwyg-comment-editor/ckeditor/plugins/smiley/images/wink_smile.png)
I have seen a couple of Aadland TV ads, but not one; yet; for the environment.