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August 10, 2012 07:29 PM UTC

Three New Polls Indicate Obama May Be Pulling Away

  • 40 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

From NBC First Thoughts:

There’s clearly movement toward the president and clearly problems for Romney personally. We had found it in our polling for the last month and it hadn’t shown up everywhere yet. Now it has. The latest evidence: three new polls out today – from CNN, Fox, and Reuters/Ipsos – all showing President Obama leading Romney by seven points or more and at or near 50%. (CNN 52-45%, Fox 49-40%, Reuters/Ipsos 49-42%). What’s more, Romney continues to have an image problem. In CNN, Obama’s fav/unfav is +14, Romney’s -1. And in Fox, Obama’s +12, Romney’s +1. (Ipsos didn’t ask fav/unfav.)[Pols emphasis]

Yes, we know the only poll that really matters is the one in November, but tired political cliches aside, Mitt Romney supporters have to be more than a little concerned by these new numbers. As we’ve always said, the most important figures in any polls are the favorable/unfavorable ratings, and that story does not bode well for Romney. For whatever the reason, people just don’t like Romney. You can talk about issues and the economy all you want, but it’s hard to get elected to any office — let alone the Presidency — if people just flat don’t like you.  

Comments

40 thoughts on “Three New Polls Indicate Obama May Be Pulling Away

  1.  They oversampled, undersampled, push polled, twisted results, and generally MSU.

    Romney wins Florida and Ohio and he’s in the new house.

    Well- he’ll probably only claim the actual residence retroactively, ’cause he’ll be president from his son’s basement or a hotel in Cheyenne.  

    This thing is over- and Romney is going to win.

    1. Romney can win both and still lose the election.  If Obama wins Pa, Mich, Wis,  (the only three other Obama states where he seems to be playing and all of which show strong leads for Obama – even Rasmussen) Obama needs only to win Nevada, Colorado, Iowa and NH.  He can still lose Ohio, Fla, and Virginia and win the election.

      Besides which, all polls, again including Rasmussen, show Obama winning Ohio and close or ahead in both Fla and Va.

      Anything can happen as we all know, but your premise is wrong.

      And, finally, I’m pretty sure this is the first time that anyone on your side has claimed that Fox News cooked the books.  Really, next time you spin about Fox News, I’ll remember this.

    1. Look at that Colorado number – and Colorado is a swing state!  If Romney can win here (which he obviously will) then he will win in Ohio and Florida.  Hell, Prop 8 tells us CA is in play.  If Romney wins CA ….!  

    2. In aggregate, Colorado is still marginally an Obama win.  Rasmussen had it tied, PPP had Obama up 6, and the Q-poll had Romney up 5; all of these polls came out within a week of each other.  If anything, the Q-poll may be lagging, because its sample contains the oldest data.

      RCP has the overall average for the state at Obama +1.2.

        1. We are a swing state solidly supportive of women’s rights, with the highest percentage of female legislators of all state legislatures, and a booming renewable energy economy.  Surely this is a demographic trending Romney’s way.

          So there is obviously something else going on.

            1. By taxing the lower and middle classes at a higher rate (assuming his budget proposal is carried out)?

              By giving the already-richer-than-they’ve-been-since-the-Gilded-Age millionaires an additional tax cut?

              By gutting bank regulations that still aren’t strong enough to prevent a repeat of this last Recession?

              By going to war with Iran without paying the bill?

    3. but I am so, so happy to see that this LYING, ELITIST TAX CHEAT, FREE RIDING SPOILED ASSHOLE isn’t getting anywhere near the oval office.

      Off to go camping, and hopefully catch some trout.  Have a nice weekend all.

  2. with his VP pick.  The only trouble is anyone who wants to run in 2016 isn’t biting.  He is going to have go to 2nd or 3rd tier candidates to maybe swing some niche voters like Pro-Gun/Pro-Life evangelicals.  Forget the independents.  He needs to go all out to win over his base.  Nobody likes the guy.

    1. When it came time to pick a VP, he was falling behind in the polls, and he decided to go for broke by choosing Palin.

      Mitt needs someone serious to back him up – someone that lends confidence about the ticket.  T-Paw is serious enough, but apparently has some tax issues of his own (not what you want when your party standard-bearer also has tax questions lingering).  Portman has the experience Romney might want as Bush’s budget director, but we know how that went.  Ryan is probably best for getting the base lined up, but his name is all over wanting to end Medicare and chop up Social Security while failing to balance the budget.

      Since Mitt chose the right-wing path and is still having issues shoring up the conservative vote, he’s kind of limited in his choices.  Lieberman or Bloomberg could have been interesting choices had he gone the moderate route, but those are closed off to him now I think.  Dick Cheney (again)?  Condi Rice?  These people have baggage of their own, but they’ve also got more weight than the current top three I think.

  3. http://www.huffingtonpost.com/

    If these kind of stories continue to surface and its amazing how many have already, Romney can’t survive because of the mistrust and unanswered questions about him each one raises. The one cited above indicates Mr. Romney doesn’t care where the money comes from as long as he could get it.  

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