The stunning news Wednesday that America’s Most Vulnerable™ Rep. Lauren Boebert was transplanting her reality TV show re-election campaign from Colorado’s R+9 Third Congressional District to the R+∞ Fourth District currently represented by retiring Rep. Ken Buck, thus sidestepping the much-anticipated rematch between Boebert and Democratic challenger Adam Frisch, left Boebert’s Republican primary challenger Jeff “You’ve Never” Hurd momentarily in the catbird seat with a long list of endorsements and growing momentum commensurate with Boebert’s definitive “Beetlebert” catastrophe at Denver’s Buell Theater on September 10th.
But as we told you to expect last week when this momentous news hit, Boebert’s departure from the CD-3 race has opened up an R+9 Republican congressional seat, meaning a relatively safe Republican seat for a candidate less prone to scandal than Boebert, without the trouble of having to oust Lauren Boebert–and a host of better-known candidates are now considering jumping into the race. Despite the mounting dissatisfaction with Boebert that preceded the “Beetlebert” scandal, bigger-name Republicans in Boebert’s district were afraid to directly challenge her. Thus creating the opportunity for Hurd to play the sacrificial lamb–or, as it happened, capitalize on the scandal that capsized Boebert’s campaign less than a month after Hurd announced.
Ernest Luning of the Colorado Springs Gazette’s political blog covered the Colorado GOP’s official election denialist and former Rep. “Raging” Ron Hanks’ announcement yesterday that he’ll be challenging Hurd for the CD-3 nomination:
Calling the GOP-leaning, Western Slope-based 3rd CD “vital to the Republican majority in the U.S. House,” Hanks said in a written statement that he’s running to keep the seat in conservative hands, adding, “Not moderate, establishment, or RINO,” using a derisive acronym for Republicans in name only.
“HOW the newly elected representative votes will make the difference between an obstructionist RINO congress working against President Trump’s next term, or a task-oriented congress that reverses the rot of the Biden Regime,” Hanks said.
We can’t wait to see what Hanks blows up to celebrate the launch of his congressional campaign! Topping blowing up the copy machine labeled “DOMINION VOTING MACHINE” won’t be easy, but where there’s a will and a bucket of Tannerite, there’s a way. Hanks getting into the CD-3 race makes it less likely that another rumored entrant from the “election truther” right, indicted former Mesa County Clerk Tina Peters, will be getting in the race in order to maximize her pretrial privileges.
Elliott Wenzler reports for the Glenwood Springs Post-Independent that Delta County’s Rep. Matt Soper is also close to jumping in:
Prominent Republicans in the district are likely mulling over whether or not to enter the race, as it’s one of the few opportunities for the group in an increasingly blue state. State Rep. Matt Soper, a Delta Republican, said he’s considering entering the race in a text message to Vail Daily.
Our readers know Rep. Soper best from his recent threat to start a civil war over Colorado’s gun safety bills, an outburst for which he later apologized on the floor of the Colorado House. Soper also quipped baselessly that Dominion Voting machines might have flipped Grand Junction City Council races that didn’t go Soper’s way, equally at odds with the level-headed image Soper tries to project.
The next name we’re hearing as a possible contender in the CD-3 primary is Boebert’s current district director, the staffer tasked with explaining to the voters of CD-3 why Boebert is bailing on them, former state Rep. Clarice Navarro of Pueblo. It’s been no secret since the Scott Tipton era that Navarro would like to run for higher office someday, and up until Navarro’s boss Boebert made a pariah of herself before announcing her intention to slink away from the district in disgrace Navarro was in a good position to run whenever Boebert moved on. Instead, Navarro stands to inherit all the animosity in the district built up against Boebert, and that’s not going to help her in what looks to be a primary ripe with choices.
This list of contenders in the newly open CD-3 Republican primary is by no means exhaustive, and we won’t be surprised to hear about other potential candidates expressing interest. Hurd racked up endorsements while his expected opponent was Boebert, and a key indicator we’ll be watching for is those endorsers jumping ship to another candidate as former Sen. Ray Scott predicted would be necessary and painful.
Do we feel bad for Barbora Hurd’s husband? We will say he suffered a strange twist of fate. Ironically, Hurd’s prominence in the CD-3 primary was dependent on having Boebert as his opponent. Now that other better-qualified Republicans have no fear of reprisal from Boebert’s devoted social media hordes, Hurd’s campaign no longer makes sense. Such is the fate of the placeholder, who in this case came closer than most to success.
In the end, Lauren Boebert sabotaged them both.
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Now that carpetbagging has become instantly acceptable in the GOP, there should be a very long line of Republicans all over Colorado interested in running in the "open" CD3. It will be quite entertaining if there's a packed primary ballot, with perhaps a substantial number of D's temporarily changing their party registration to join in the voting fun. If there's a long list of GOP candidates, it will be a crap shoot who wins the plurality. It might be hankerin' Hanks' best shot ever!
My guess is that any serious nut case who wants to run and win will do so in CD 4, and that any serious-about-winning candidates in CD 3 will be limited to RINOs.
I don't believe Hanks is serious about winning because while he does not have a Bettlejuice incident in his past, he has said and done things that place him in the same category as Bobert found herself in 2022. If Hanks should win the GOP primary, Adam Frisch's prospects get a lot better.
Just register as an Un and get both primary ballots. Then decide how you are going to vote.
Everyone should do this. There is no point in being a card-carrying party member.
Especially if it turns out that only one party is having a contested race.
I felt a little icky filling out the Republican ballot in '22 but got over it. Because while I was ultimately going to vote for Bennet and Griswold in the general election, I preferred Joe O'Dea and Pam Anderson to Hanks and Peters.
It's like ranked-choice voting only you need to think strategically.
If all someone wants to do is vote, registering as "unaffiliated" isn't a problem.
If you want to impact party choices, including downballot candidates, platform positions, and party priorities of effort, being a member makes sense.
Of the folks mentioned here, I actually think Navarro would be the best candidate in the primary (not saying most popular necessarily). She's from Pueblo, largest population center in the 3rd; has federal-level experience; and even though there are ties to The Boebs I don't think Navarro has made an a$$ of herself anywhere close to the level her boss has. Of course that's such a low bar it's probably beneath the surface.
Plus, her federal government job gives her the chance to show to the MAGA world that she was part of the Trump administration without being too much a part of the Trump administration when she asks non-MAGA voters to vote for her.
Clarice Navarro is just not the sharpest knife in the drawer. Sorry, Moddy.
She and Moddy have that in common.
But brains are obviously not a prerequisite to be a Republican House member.
It's a disqualification, if anything.
Given Moddy's conspicuous absence on this blog maybe their straegerie is to put some daylight between him and a possible candidacy. That, or his boss finally got wise to his political activities during working hours?
She can't run for partisan office as a federal employee, right? So watch, I guess, for Navarro to quit her job – or not.
Assuming the post-Trump-Sad!-ministration Hatch Act is not a dead letter, Navarro can't.
However, an article in Government Executive of January 24, 2023 points out
Hatch Act penalty is pretty minor, and if a candidate WON, the current Supreme Court guidance is only the Constitutional limits can be used to refuse to seat a Representative.