U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
See Full Big Line
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
See Full Big Line
(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
See Full Big Line
(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
March 19, 2024 12:36 PM UTC
18 Comments
Did anyone ask the Representative to show his work?
I remember the stories such as "Nov 16, 2022 — Colorado's state Legislature is poised to have more women than men in 2023 for the first time in the state's history, with 51%"
Given that women live longer than men, I suspect the population of those ELIGIBLE to serve in the legislature is at least 51% female. One source I checked said
If his name and that photo are any indication, I'm guessing he wears his colored hankie in the right, rear pocket when he is out on the prowl.
How is dumb so over represented in the Republican party.
As Forest Gump like to say, "Stupid is as stupid does."
They attract one another because they're idiots and they're proud of it. There's strength in numbers.
Because everyone who has a functioning brain has fled that dumpster fire.
That's not totally true. For example Republicans have Sooper who isn't a total idiot but they bullied him into commiting career suicide while his bullies became the Leadership. He's too smart to be a Republican too dumb and fearful of being bullied more to leave.
Women have a lot of time to make up for before reaching historic equity with men in the legislature. The fact is the Colorado legislature was active for 18 years before the first woman was elected to the House and 36 years before the first was elected to the Senate….and that it was active for 146 years before women managed to comprised a majority for the very first time. Unsurprisingly it only took 2 years for one of the men in the legislature to take to the floor to bitch about being underrepresented. Dude, just be happy there's one of you there to complain. As noted above, it took 18 years before a woman was under the dome to say anything about anything.
And then these guys complain that they can't get laid. Is it any surprise?
Q: Why do Republican men cry when they are having sex?
A: Because of the pepper spray.
A joke about rape, Thorntonite?
ps. This has been a test of the emergency LBWPoS triggering system. Had this been an actual LBWPoS triggering event, it would have also featured Jill Stein, Ralph Nader, voter suppression, advocacy for domestic violence survivors, and praise of any left wing feminist politician.
Please return to your regularly scheduled Pols programming.
Once again, Pomposa, you've missed the mark.
I become resigned to the fact that what is going to happen ultimately will happen. I'm planning on voting for Biden. I'm also donating money to his campaign. But I'd be (very pleasantly) surprised if he wins.
I'm looking at the election with the attitude that "if they give you lemons, make lemonade." While I no doubt will detest his authoritarian tendencies, his grifting, and his pandering to the theocratic assholes, with any luck his 2017 tax cuts will be extended which means more money in my pocket. I'll look at it as compensation for the psychological and emotional distress four more years of him will inflict upon me.
And if things get really, really bad here, I have an exit strategy. My husband has a house in Mexico where we already spend much of our winters. We'll just need to spend more time there. (I would just need to learn to adapt to the summer heat.)
I'm starting to rethink my binary way of thinking which has dictated that we always should go with the lesser of two evils. Maybe there is something to the idea of voting one's conscience.
It's a tribute to the strength of our democracy that we can have a wide selection of different candidates so that everyone can find someone with whom they can vote in good conscience: the theocrats, gun nuts, racists, and authoritarians have Trump, the right/centrists will have the No Labels candidate, the conspiracy folks have Kennedy, the left/ centrists have Biden, and the hard core left have the dilemma of choosing between West and Stein.
Whew. The LBWPOS triggering system still works! Any day I put LB on the defensive is a good day.
Happy to have made your day! BTW, I noticed you didn't take issue with any of the substance of what I said.
Voting your conscience is a fine thing … in states where the outcome is not in doubt. Personally, I don't see how one would consider West and Stein competent to create or run a large organization such as the White House and the Executive Branch, but their supporters may have some evidence I've yet to see. Or perhaps "conscience" doesn't nod to ability.
I keep reading some of the "woe is Biden" explanations, and I truly don't understand which states that elected Biden in 2020 are going to flip to Trump, let alone enough to flip the overall electoral college outcome.
Trump's demonstrated supporting demographic groups have been shrinking in both relative and absolute numbers.
One group that had been key to Trump's win in 2016 were White Evangelicals. Their voter participation was higher than the population as a whole and 75% or so of them supported Trump. However, according to PRRI, they made up about 16.8% of the American population in 2016. By 2022, it was 13.6% and the more recent anecdotes and stats I've seen appear to support an on-going decline. And younger and urban Evangelicals among that number have demonstrated less loyalty to voting and voting for Trump.
I've seen and can understand those who say the race is going to be tight — but I haven't seen anyone with a compelling explanation of a certain Trump win. Got a source that would persuade?
"I truly don't understand which states that elected Biden in 2020 are going to flip to Trump, let alone enough to flip the overall electoral college outcome."
Wisconsin 2024: Trump 46%, Biden 43% – Emerson Polling (emersoncollegepolling.com)
Nevada 2024 Poll: Trump 44%, Biden 41% – Emerson Polling (emersoncollegepolling.com)
Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More
Michigan 2024 Poll: Trump 45%, Biden 44% – Emerson Polling (emersoncollegepolling.com)
Michigan is interesting because if you read down, the one point lead Trump hold over Biden gets a little bigger when you add Kennedy, West and Stein to mix. It also shows Gretchen Witmer beating Trump, 50% to 45% in Michigan.
Maybe if Biden brings peace and prosperity to Gaza between now and November, he will close the gap. But that's a long shot. Michigan is gone.
Arizona and Georgia were upsets for Biden last time – much like Obama's win in North Carolina and Indiana in 2008 were nice surprises but unfortunately not to be repeated. The only reason Warnock was re-elected in 2022 was because of what he had for an opponent.
Finally, Biden is doing terribly – compared to what he got four years ago – among black and brown voters. This is not a big surprise because while black voters used to vote Democratic by 90% or so, that number has been slowly coming down. Middle and working class black voters are responding to Trump's trade and economic policies.
And the Hispanic communities are even more extreme. Sure, if you ask people who are asylum seekers or undocumented immigrants, they'll say they identify with the Democrats. But here's some news for you – very few of those people vote.
The ones who do vote have been here for a while. And a lot of them paid their dues and went through the process. They have a degree of resentment towards the ones who cut the line. So many of them actually agree with Trump on immigration.
"Personally, I don't see how one would consider West and Stein competent to create or run a large organization such as the White House and the Executive Branch"
That is irrelevant to most voters. What major organization did Joe Biden, Bill Clinton or Barack Obama ever run before becoming president? Trump, of course, ran a major organization which went through four bankruptcies. Using the standard of running a major organization, Bush, Jr.'s term as governor of Texas makes him the most qualified of the last five presidents.
Finally, I dare say that for many people, West, Stein and Kennedy – while all are eligible for Medicare and social security – are perceived as still younger and more vibrant than Biden or Trump.
I've said it before and I'll say it again. A strategy that says vote for Biden because he is not Trump is as likely to be successful this year as it was in 2016 when Hillary tried it.
Thanks for taking my question seriously and responding. You have a number of points that I'll need to mull a bit.
The largest academic study of Presidential polls I know of concluded that this early, the polls are about as reliable as flipping a coin. I'm not up for dissecting the nuances of size, registration status, how the polls deal with "no answer" responses, and a host of other factors. I'll be much more interested in mid-summer and into the fall. I'll just say that polls this early in 2016 showed a sizeable Clinton win, the polls this early in 2020 showed a sizeable Biden win, and both wound up as really tight races in the battleground states.
On Michigan … there's a great deal of uncertainty what it means for an "uncommitted" vote in the Democratic primary, what "anger" at the Biden White House means when there is also anger at the Trump White House, and the attraction of 3rd party candidates has almost ALWAYS dropped precipitously as general election looms.
Short version … I don't expect to convince people with my analysis of Trump's coalition shrinking.
Way too many things that will be relevant to the election are among the "known unknowns." I have no idea where a variety of court cases will be and if the verdicts will matter. I don't know if Trump will be able to adequately ramp up fundraising. Who knows if Trump will develop a coherent campaign such as he had in 2020 or go back to the wavering model of 2016. I really don't know if there will be another round of effective foreign influence (2016) or if it will be much less persuasive (2020). And of course, none of know which signs of aging will become more evident and concerning.
"I don't know if Trump will be able to adequately ramp up fundraising."
That is one thing Biden has going his way. I don't think Trump will be able to ramp up fundraising.And he is focusing all his efforts now on preserving his personal and business assets when he should be raising money for his campaign. 🙂
And I concede that a lot – for better or worse – can still happen between now and Oct./Nov.
Was "Bottom" named after the donkey-headed clown in A Midsummer Night's Dream"? That seems apt.
Donkeys ( Democrats) live rent free in his head and make him look a fool. He also spends all his time chasing fairies.