UPDATE: We’ve gotten a lot of comments on this, so we should probably clarify that we are not talking about official votes here. This information reflects tracking of registered voters who have already voted and comparisons to 2004.
We’re getting word on some early returns from early and absentee ballots in key races.
Democrats Gwyn Green (HD-23) and Jeanne Labuda (HD-1) are ahead in early returns. Democrat Debbie Benefield and Republican Affie Ellis (HD-29) are running fairly close. Republican Dave Owen is leading Democrat Jim Riesberg (HD-50).
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nobody posts returns on early voting
available. But, data on the party registration of people who have returned absentee ballots or early voted is available, and is likely what is being referred to by the source for this story.
I didn’t think anywhere tallied votes officially until after 7 p.m. on Election Day? Where is this information coming from?
That Pols is looking at the Republican absentee ballots versus the Democratic absentee ballots when making this determination.
percentages and calling them votes? You can see the R/D/U breakdown but if they are calling these “early returns”, then they are getting a jump start on Amendment 44.
I like the sound of this rumor better than the one you made up just ten days ago when you said that the Dems were conceding in HD-23, but I trust it just as much.
The fact that R’s are crossing over to Ritter should mitigate the idea that an R vote is an R vote all the way down the line…
It really isn’t who is ahead but how that compares to previous years. In many counties, even “blue” counties, we have more Rs than Ds asking for EV or Av.
This year, Ds are more likely than Rs compared to 2004 to vote early or absentee vote. For example, the lastest absentee vote request in eagle County was 47% D and 38% R. (10/25/06 requests) Sounds close but in 2004 it was 47% R and 24% D in the absentee.
Consider this:
Kerry won Eagle with 54% of the vote despite the deficits in both AV and EV.
If “Colorado Pols” keeps publishing crap like this the whole site will go down the ol’ internet Tubes as stuff and nonsense!
This is either total silliness or serious and intentional violation of election laws. I believe the former is closer to the truth.
I think that right before the election is the time for a website like this to keep the highest standards. I’m already done with Colorado Confidential. With the Beauprez airplane story and yesterday’s “Legal Questions Raised In Pot Debate” story… I’m beginning to wonder if there is any value in that blog other than spreading rumors. Hell, I could say “Barack Obama came to Colorado to support Democrats. Did he pay for the trip? Did the state party? Did Salazar? Was it legal?”
If you want to be respected you have to have some positive evidence that there was wrongdoing, not simply the fact that you called an airline and they hung up on you. Did that “reporter” call the Beauprez camp? Did they call the state GOP. What about in the Pot Debate story? Did they even LOOK at financial disclosure? I’d hate to see Pols take the same road, but if they do… so be it.
There is no record of the expense of the airplane in Beauprez’s report – that’s the problem.
The airplane doesn’t show up anywhere. The CoCo folks might want to look back even further to when BB was jetsetting about the state in a private plane over the summer.
Romanoff is employing a firm to call people after they’ve voted by absentee or badger them after they’ve voted early outside the polling place…
But Middle, isn’t this a bit of a waste of camapign cash? I mean, how in the world could you come up with anything like scientific numbers with this kind of polling. At best it is a feel good, warm and fuzzy stunt that may have little tie in to reality.
PRESIDENT KERRY AND SENATOR STRICKLAND LEAD IN EXIT POLLING…
Well, it seems to me if you have the cash and wanna focus on certain races and wanna know where to really press last minute, then exit polling helps (although not quite totally scientific)…I have no idea if they’re doing this, but it’s just a suggestion to answer the question of how does Colorado Pols know that Green, etc are doing how they’re doing,,,
Says who? You can’t release, much less publish this stuff. Hoax.
I think copols assumed we would all get that they are not official totals. these numbers are significant because we are talking about state house races where people vote party lines. My god people, would you rather they just not report this stuff? well it seems important to me, and copols is still the best political blog in colorado, that is why you and I are here.