President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 29, 2024 10:34 AM UTC
14 Comments
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I am expecting the Biden Electoral College margin, plus North Carolina
This type of survey falls into the broad category “opinions are like ‘anal openings,’ everyone has one.”
For me, the Blue Wall goes Dem barely, plus Nevada and NE-1, giving Harris the win. AZ and GA go red, but NC comes over to Blue.
Hoping, praying, Harris.
Expecting Trump.
Democrats are taking the house and retaining the presidentcy while swapping power sharing positions in the Senate. The Red Wave never materialized in '22 and won't make an appearance this year either.
Harris.
She will win. Not by much but she will win.
How many of you are thinking what the hell you're going to do if Trump wins. I know I am. God help us.
My spouse has several contingency plans.
I'm thinking of active resistance.
Storm the Capitol Building and smear shit on the walls?
Isn't that now the tradition when you lose an election?
As the more adult and stable political party, storming the capitol isn't our jam.
I understand the premise – not what we want to happen, but what we expect to happen. But I cannot separate the two in my brain. Everything that I read and hear that supports a conclusion that Harris will win, I internalize. Everything that supports a Trump victory, I discount with whatever semi-rational information I have (skewed polls, billionaires polluting the data). I think it is the definition of confirmation bias, and I don't know how to get it out of my head.
I suppose I kinda’ see why you wouldn’t ask, “Who do you think will win the Presidential election?” Maybe ask again next year?
(I’m afraid it’s probably gonna’ seem like a very long time until January 20th.)
I think Harris wins it in a blow-out. All 7 of the battleground states and maybe Texas or Florida (due to the MSG event).
I also think it will be very close for both Rick Scott and Ted Cruz. Could go either way.
I thpought Tester was toast. But it's now looking like maybe he pulls it out. Brown should win in Ohio.
Which means a heavy swing to Dems in the House and myabe maybe maybe keep the Senate.
I think she wins the popular vote by 10M and gets at least 300 in the EC
I have zero doubt that Harris will win the popular vote. I think maybe 51-49 win for her on the electoral college vote.
But it won't be decided on November 5, because the Trump team will be complaining and declaring victory, and stirring up the thugs and litigating every swing state result, in the hope that one or more lawsuits will stick and make it all the way to his bought and paid-for Supreme Court.
So yes, Harris wins November 5. But t will be a very long slog until January 20.