U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
July 09, 2007 05:07 PM UTC
44 Comments
Not a lot of money in the district and I think this shows she means business.
Hell, she only declared 3 weeks prior to Markey so it certainly disproves or at least heartily dampens the theory that she can’t raise money in CD4 with a primary opponent in the mix.
A lot of money comes from out of town and many of those folks probably aren’t even aware that Marky is running. I would imagine that Angie didn’t mention it. 😉
The real test will be 1) Can Markey get her name out and about over the next 3-4 months so people that do tend to donate will know she is out there and 2) Does that have any affect on Paccione’s numbers later.
washing machine you got there. The spin cycle in particular squeaks quite a bit.
Since the whole point right now is to build a war chest to compete against Musgrave’s, it’s pretty sad that Betsy Markey’s campaign strategy is centered around scaring off donations to Angie Paccione in the absence of any fundraising strategy of her own. Are you guys actively trying to re-elect Musgrave?
The only reason to get in this early is to raise the money to be competitive against Musgrave. This is a good sign that she is off to the right start.
I still think Markey can beat Musgrave… Angie got beat and I hear she wins National is not going to come in with the same support the did last time. The DCCC was very much behind Brandon Shaffer getting into the race.
they should have helped him make a graceful entry. If they did help him then They should hire somebody who knows how to insert a candidate into a race.
DCCC was “behind” Shaffer and it was great, but they want to be free see other candidates now.
they wont help any of them until they win the primary and they will be much less likely to help any campaign that doesn’t raise money. Angie could shore this thing up quicker then any one thought.
The DCCC and DSCC certainly have shown the ability to pick a favorite in primaries. Should they? Not in my opinion. But they do.
the dccc talks to a lot of campaigns and probably talked to brandon, but talking and supporting are two different things. I can’t think of many times when they have actually spent money in a primary unless it was defending a sitting member.
But certainly providing recommendations and driving donors in a certain direction.
Duckworth v. Cegelis 2006 and Salazar v. Miles 2004 are the two easiest for me to conjure up – one for the D-trip, one for the DSCC.
the DCCC doesn’t wave a wond and drive donors to their candidates. The campaigns themselves may tell people the dccc is really backing them and sometimes donors believe that but people in DC don’t have that much sway with donors. Sometimes the campaigns themselves have DC events and get members of congress or lobbyist to help thats cool but again thats not the DCCC as an organization helping.
The express goal of the DCCC is principally to recruit candidates for the House and to raise funds to assist both new candidates and incumbents from the Democratic party in an effort to gain Democratic representation in the House.
Rahn Emmanual has been public in favoring recruiting and supporting candidates he thought could win. It is one of the reasons for the break between the DNC and the DCCC in the 2006 cycle.
the DCCC DOES NOT PLAY IN PRIMARIES
You can use all the CAPS you like, but the DCCC recruits candidates. If “Candidate A” gets “recruited” and “Candidate B” doesnt, the DCCC is obviously favoring one candidate over another. No, they dont spend money on primaries for non-incumbents, but it’s crazy to say the DCCC doesnt “play in primaries”
sure the DCCC talks to all kinds of people but if they aren’t spending any money on a race, they aren’t running any ads, they aren’t sending volunteers how is that supporting? So what if a candidate talks to some dude in DC if they aren’t investing in a race then they aren’t investing in a race.
but the “dude in DC” may well be a congressman from a neighboring district. The recruit committee is made up of just that: other members of congress, not some random politicos.
The DCCC very often makes it clear who they want for a race. They may not do it with money or volunteers, but they make it clear in many cases. The way you put it, it’s as if the DCCC does nothing before the general election field is set. I see that’s not your point, but to say the DCCC doesnt touch primaries is just way off.
If dragons were half as real, there’d be sightings all over the place. You have zero credibility here; the DCCC was all over the Cegelis-Duckworth match, and the DSCC was visibly partisan in the Salazar-Miles match.
if they aren’t spending money on a race or putting boots on the ground then they aren’t playing in that race. People like to spin and blame the party when there candidate doesn’t win, but most of the time its the candidates own fault for not working hard enough.
or just read Charles Schumer’s book “Positively American” where he talks about he and Harry Reid picked their favorite candidates before the 2006 primary season and did everything in their power to make sure their chosen candidates got the nod from the voters. I’d say it’s a pretty reliable source considering he’s, oh yeah, chairman of the DSCC.
Admittedly not the DCCC, but you get the idea. I’ll bet Rahm Emmanuel’s book would say much to the same extent, although I haven’t read that one. The fact that both these groups play an active role in primaries if they need to, if they think it’s worth the effort and expenditure, is just a simple reality — wake up and smell it.
what good is it? I mean sure they can talk all they want but why listen to them if they aren’t investing in a race. If they’ve scared one of your candidates out because of tough talk shame on your candidate for backing down to them. They don’t spend money in primaries so why believe the hype. If you’ve seen a DCCC primary ad I’d love to see it.
Time to change another cd race on the big line. Looks like betsy will be around 50K and with angie out raising her 2-1 I’d say Angie’s got the big MO right now.
You would think Angie would be making 2 times what Betsy makes because Angie had twice the amount of time that Betsy had to raise money to begin with (Angie with 2 months, Betsy with one).
All this banter about who will pull what really doesn’t matter… I want to see what happens when they both are in the ring vying for cash with the same amount of time to do so.
Any word yet on Betsy’s figures?… how do you know they are at 50,000? I had heard they were in the 40’s. And when do we get to see them on the FEC website?
I don’t think your math is correct. Angie Paccione filed on May 10. Betsy Markey announced on June 1 (and had her invites out almost two weeks before that) even though she didn’t file her (backdated) FEC papers until June 25. Angie had barely more than a two week jump on Betsy — and good for Angie for being on her game.
Are you saying Betsy Markey was fund raising 2 weeks before her announcement gathering?
I’m saying that if Betsy’s campaign explains lackluster fundraising by arguing that Angie was in twice as long as Betsy, it will not be the truth.
What I am also saying is that the fact that Betsy had her invites out well before her announcement shows that she should have had at least some donors lined up well before announcing, so it is a red herring to play down bad numbers by saying she hasn’t been in the race as long as Angie.
that is…consistently wrong.
It’s one thing to support a candidate. It’s another to spin a line of bullshit and expect that we’ll all continue to believe it, if you just keep saying it over and over, Youth Voice. Angie declared approximately 2 weeks prior to Betsy and Betsy had already been mailing out the invites to her coming out party during the same time period Angie announced.
Look, your favored candidate hasn’t released her fund raising numbers. If you have a beef with that, talk to her and stop spinning your line of bullshit here.
You know, I’m having a tough time believing you worked on Angie’s 1st campaign, as you claim you did. Anyone that worked on that campaign understands what kind of a commitment you must make to fund raising, if you want to take out a well funded opponent like Musgrave.
Yet, you continue to insist (right in line with Markey’s press release–how coincidental) that money isn’t really important.
Get back to us when you’re ready to play in the big leagues, little girl.
Sorry I had my dates wrong… I was thinking Angie announced earlier than she did.
My candidate to win it is Betsy. That has been clear for some time. Don’t put this spin BS on me because you don’t agree with my opinion. I am over Angie and that’s that. You continue to support Angie quite openly, why I can’t do the same for Betsy makes no sense to me. You and all the other Angie supporters, many of whom are 06 campaigners who I KNOW, put plenty of spin on these blogs for all us.
As for working for Angie’s campaign… believe it. If you would like me to provide you with a detailed floor plan of her Longmont campaign office, a description of the office clutter, and a list of houses I canvassed I would be happy to. Somehow I think it wouldn’t be nice to expose all of Angie’s 2006 campaign flaws… but if you would like them first hand I would now be more than pleased to spill.
If the big league is Angie then I might go find a corner to die in. I don’t think Angie can do it this year… the fact that you are making this into a bigger deal than it is makes me even more heated with Angie’s camp.
You crack me up. Don’t put the spin BS on you? That’s all you are good for, sweetheart.
The Longmont campaign office? Ahhh, thank you. Now I truly can cease wasting time taking you seriously.
Oh, and feel free to find the nearest corner, honey. You know what to do from there.
Thank you and goodnight, little girl.
At David’s. I’m sure you know him. Opened a few months before the election ended…With canvassing materials. You know… what they use to campaign.
If you were inferring that I didn’t know where headquarters was (Mason and Laurel by Avos) you are sadly mistaken. Oh or maybe you were talking about the make shift office before that on Elizabeth. This is a sweet thanks for all that work though. Thanks Angie.
Since everybody that’s been on this blog longer than 8 weeks (so obviously that excludes you) knows I’m not her and am speaking for myself.
My, you are a bitter young thing, aren’t you?
Sad, so sad…
Angie needs to do a lot better than $100,000 to be taken seriously. Welchert is great but he needs money to work with. With Shafroth and Polis raising $300,000 Angie needs to step it up. Musgrave will be at $1 million cash in the bank by January 1.
good point…but Musty probably will have that much by Jan…
If in fact Angie has raised $100,000 which is a big if, I came closer to her numbers than I did with Polis and Shafroth. But, when the final numbers are in from Perlmutter, Lamborn, Musgrave, Markey and others my money predictions will look better.
I hope.
I thought you predicted she wouldn’t break $50k. Were you off by more than 100% with Polis and Shafroth?
If you hit reply directly under a comment you are replying to and put in a response there, then you have a thread going and the conversation is easy to follow. Much less confusing.
I mean it. Really. If your political ambitions include screwing the people of Dist 4 AGAIN, you’re on the right track. Otherwise, bow out gracefully.
How’d she screw’em before?
How dare you imply that Betsy Markey screwed the democratic party. You obviously don’t the woman and all the free hours she put in and the great things she did to revive the party in Northern Colorado when it was virtually dead. Not only that she has been a dedicated public servant when she didn’t have to be. Long term committed politicians like Peggy Reeves, Bob Bacon, all the party chairs and lots of others know how good she is and are grateful.
You obviously don’t much and are rude to imply otherwise.
There is nothing like setbacks to teach us how to move forward in a more positive direction. Good for you, Angie. I know you will benifit by a primary and I know that you will run on issues and civility.