President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
70%↑
30%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
May 09, 2011 08:31 PM UTC
9 Comments
I don’t deny the significance of Mejia’s endorsement, but I have a hard time believing that progressives who supported Mejia in the first round will now automatically flock to Romer. I have no idea what the Latino community will make of this endorsement, but I do know that many of my progressive friends who supported Mejia want nothing to do with Chris Romer. They may not be thrilled with Michael Hancock, but they certainly prefer him over Chris. The anybody but Romer crowd, which I believe is at least half of the electorate, will flock to Hancock.
I also think you are over looking Chris Romer’s affliction with foot and mouth disease. In a tight race, which I think this still is, it only takes one ill-timed comment to totally change the dynamic of an election. And we all know that sometimes Chris can’t help himself.
Mejia’s endorsement was an important get, but not an election ender. It just means the next few weeks will be very intense.
2 points I think DenverPols got wrong: 1. Hancock has higher unfavorables 2. The idea that Mejia takes his supporters with him. The Mejia endorsement definitely changes things and could define the rest of the election. But DenverPols had Hancock on a sinking Titanic Ship a few months ago soo… maybe not the best resource for where Hancock stands. Romer unfavorables are through the f-ing roof.
Their mayoral line all but predicted a Romer/Boigon runoff. That is, until the day she dropped out of the race.
Guess that means we should take what they say with a grain of salt.
Prior to a runoff or a primary, we try to gauge who has the best chance of winning the general or final election. At the time, our logic was that Boigon’s personal financial resources would have given her a great chance if she made the runoff.
Making a runoff or winning a primary often is a separate question. Look at last year’s Republican primary for Governor, for example. After Scott McInnis imploded, it looked like Dan Maes had a good chance to win the primary…but of course, he never had a chance to win the general election.
After all this time, just because something is on a website, you still think it has validity, even from an anonymous source? There’s no fucking science in the goddamn line. There’s only the vague hope of influence -the kind of influence that eats up campaign dollars in the form of chattering staffers, bonding by bouncing ignorant speculation off of one another.
Just because someone made a little “official” diagram of how they want the deck chairs set up doesn’t mean you have to think it’s the best plan. Those are YOUR deck chairs. Rearrange them wisely.
This is beyond words… F**king pay-2-Play Romer. Is ANYONE going to cover the fact that his is STILL under investigation according to FINRA filings?
Resigning myself to this mess, it seems that Mr. Shady’s leadership team to-date is:
Chief of Staff: James Mejia
CFO: Cary Kennedy
City Attorney: Teresa Spahn
Aside from Elbra Wedgworth as Chief of Staff, what does Hancock’s team look like? Hopefully it includes Michael Johnston…
Using the “logic” that Hancock is a goner due to Mejia’s endorsement, (which by the way is ludicrous,it’s a big jump for Mejia supporters to jump to Romer)…let’s apply the same logic to the Clerk and Recorders race
Sarah McCarthy 32.3% (27,149)
Debra Johnson 29.3% (24,615)
Tom Downey 28.2% (23,667)
Jacob Werther 10.0% (8,393)
With Downey’s unquestionable endorsement for Debra Johnson sent out to his entire base…
“I got to know her on the campaign trail and she is an impressive woman. She is smart, well spoken, has tremendous experience and she works as hard as anyone I know. I hope that you would consider voting for her.”
Again, using your Romer/Mejia logic, many of Downey’s 23,667 votes will be for Johnson. I guess the math/numbers thing is a bit foreign but it looks to me like Sarah’s clear front runner status might be a little questionable. I am thankful you folks at DenverPols don’t have a bias.
——————————————————————————–
First off, Denver voters don’t pay attention to the Clerk & Recorder race, so those endorsements mean little.
But the larger point is that this isn’t a simple mathematical question in terms of votes being transferred. Obviously Mejia’s endorsement doesn’t mean that everyone who voted for him in May will automatically vote for Romer in June. That would be an absurd argument, and that’s not at all what we are saying.
Mejia was a very strong candidate for Mayor, and his support is hugely important now because of the doors he opens up to help Romer court those voters. It’s also incredibly important in terms of perception — Mejia’s endorsement strengthens Romer’s position as the frontrunner, and that directs a lot of other support and donations his way.
Please, prior to the election this was a very important race, you almost ran for the position, recall this?
04/14 Scott Gessler endorsement (Downey) recognized
04/23 Denver Post endorsement (Downey) recognized
04/26 Ken Salazar endorsement (Downey) recognized.
Your subversiveness is unbecoming to a journalist, at least have the guts to be honest and say why.
How can we make this vitally important race more visible to the public so the best person, the person with the most experience, the person most equipped, the person with the most knowledge wins?