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January 06, 2008 06:40 AM UTC

NH POLL Cast your Vote Who will win the Granite State Primary

  • 25 Comments
  • by: NEWSMAN

With the New Hampshire Primary upon us, give us your prediction for who will win the Democratic and Republican Primaries.

Vote for One from each Party

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25 thoughts on “NH POLL Cast your Vote Who will win the Granite State Primary”

  1. Obama’s got the Big Mo on the Democratic side and it’s going to take a lot to derail him.  Tonight’s debate didn’t do the job for Clinton, and while I think Edwards did quite well, his best moments came against Clinton and the moderators, which doesn’t slow down Obama.

    McCain holds on to his supposed lead in New Hampshire with the debate tonight; Romney got sacked by all players, and Huckabee isn’t much of a factor in the state.

      1. Fred Thompson at best a D – he was half asleep and clearly didn’t even want to be there.

        And Rudy? – he was phoning it in – give him a C+ and drop Mitt & Ron down to C-.

        Mitt Romney is easily the big loser tonight, McCain probably has NH won after tonight’s debate and that means another second place for Mitt.

    1. Edwards responded sharply to a Clinton aide’s criticism today, intensifying a back-and-forth that began at last night’s debate, after Clinton said Nataline Sarkisyan could be alive if the patients bill of rights, which he’d boasted of championing, had passed.

      “The Clinton campaign has no conscience,” Edwards said, after Clinton spokesman Jay Carson said Edwards does no more than “read articles about people who need help and talk about them.”

      “The idea that everything is about them [suggests] that they have no conscience,” Edwards said of the Clinton campaign…”  

      1. By Dick Morris and Eileen McGann

        FNC

        Fleetwood Mac would roll over in their musical graves if they could hear how the Hillary campaign has gotten into a time warp, obsessing with the 90s while a new political generation demands a focus on tomorrow.

        Going into Iowa, the Hillary campaign was notable for transcending the gender barrier while Obama struggled to overcome the racial divide. But last night, as the Iowa results came in, it was apparent that the real polarity was over generation and age. The Baby Boomers are being challenged to give up power. Voters under 30 backed Obama by 4:1, signaling the emergence of a new political force in our politics.

        And the Huckabee victory on the Republican side mirrored the Obama triumph. The evangelical populist reached out to the Reagan Democrats in a way that the GOP has not since the master left the stage. But now, the Republicans have a candidate who defies the country club set, blasts hedge fund tax shelters, criticizes huge CEO salaries and calls for an end to the IRS.

        But all the while, Hillary Clinton clings to her rhetoric about experience and her ability to bring about change. She recites the lines that worked in Mark Penn’s polls without understanding the nature of the seismic changes the Obama candidacy represents.

        http://www.foxnews.com/story/0…

      1. That’s why politicians do it so often. And the thing is, the points brought up by everyone last night are legit. Are words enough, do they matter, how do you balance a proven ability to get things done vs going for the big win.

        This is why I hope all 3 remain credible winners past Feb 5 – this discussion is really good for us. We will get a better president from it.

        – dave

        ps are you ColoradoObama or ColonelObama? (not being snarky, honestly curious)

        1. to see if I’ve been promoted. My intent for the name was Colorado-Obama, such as Colorado for Obama. Although, when on the phones, when walking precints, and of course my weekend posts on ColoradoPols, I feel like I’m a foot soldier in the Obama Army.  

        2. Negatives do “tend” to work, but we are witnessing something different this campaign. Each time Clinton has gone negative on Obama, she has received substantial push back. Most recently we read that AFSCME members (who endorsed Clinton) were upset at McEntee and the Clinton’s for running negative against Barack.

          Clinton is beginning to understand she can’t run a politics as usual campaign, but it might too late. If she loses NH and SC (I think she’s going to win NV) she’s going to have a tough time on Feb. 5th.  

      2. They do really try to inform.  And FOX tends to be very generous to Mrs Clinton.

        Some of their commentators do lean right (some way right)others lean left, but they are there for their opinions.  

        Their news team is good. I also like PBS and think they are mostly fair, even though they definitely lean left (some way left, like – Bill Moyers)  

        1. Their news team is lousy–roger ailes directs them like an organ of the GOP.

          Of course they support Hillary–the GOP need her to unite their party.

            1. I’m pat buchanon comentates on Olberman and I’m not going to say that makes Keith’s show balanced.  I love Keith, but it has a strong liberal bias.

          1. (Ron Paul)is doing better than Thompson or Giuliani and yet they keep him off the debate. Why?

            Because he is not doing well nationally.  He is not ahead of Thompson or Giuliani.

            Because you can’t have a serious debate between the major players when you have to give equal time to 6 or 8 candidates.

            I want to see a debate between the top 3 or 4 in each party.  

            That’s why the Dem debate was limited (before) Dodd and Biden dropped out.

            Don’t blame FOX, ABC did the same thing, for the same reasons.

            1. Don’t blame FOX, ABC did the same thing, for the same reasons.

              ABC came up with some reasonable criteria that dropped the Dems to 4 and the Repubs to 6 and no one (aside from Kucinich) complained. But that included Paul.

              This debate is for NH primary voters and Ron Paul is presently polling above both Guiliani and Thompson there. This is FOX wanting to not show a credible candidate that they dislike.

              They could do just the top 3. Or all the top 6. But what they did is so crappy that the NH GOP pulled out of the debate sponsorship.

              1. It would not surprise me to see them relent and allow Ron Paul in for the very reasons you sight.

                But Paul in or out, it will be a better debate with a smaller field of top tier candidates.

                PS  Ron Paul is NOT a top tier candidate.

  5. That he was edged out of a first place win  in Iowa by the Evangelical Populist Mike Huckabee should not come as a huge shock.

    Romney took a respectable second in Iowa, and had a big Win in Wyoming, showing he can do very well in the more conservative Western States.

    Mitt Romney will beat Huckabee in New Hampshire by several points.  He will come very close to John McCain, and may edge him out of first.  He will beat both Giuliani and Thompson AGAIN.

    This idea that Romney must win NH or he is  in trouble is nonsense. NH is only the third in what will be a multi state season.

    Two second place finishes in this field beating Both McCain and Huckabee twice and everyone else 3 times is not bad.  Not bad at all.

    After Super Tuesday, we will know who the true nationally viable candidates are.  

    I predict Romney will be at or near the top of the pack.

    1. But as you’re well aware, the media doesn’t seem to see it quite that way.  In reality, Mitt should be considered near the “top of the pack” even if he doesn’t win today.  It should be “nonsense” that a 2nd place finish today would put him in trouble.

      But the MSM will continue to point out that he lost by 9% to Huck after dominating in the polls for months.  When you spend that much time, money, and effort to beat a guy and still lose by a significant margin, it’s hard to spin that well.  The same goes for NH.  All that time and money into NH and he still might lose to a guy who’s campaign was on life support a few short months ago.

      Now, does that mean the MSM is right?  Of course not.  But far too many voters across this country tend to pay attention to what they say as opposed to logically looking at reality.  

      And winning Wyoming was nice…but who noticed?  

  6. Our shaky New Hampshire projection on election eve:

    1st Place: McCain, but vulnerable.

    2nd Place: Romney, but rallying.

    3rd Place: Huckabee.

    4th Place: Giuliani.

    5th Place: Former Sen. Fred Thompson (Tenn.).

    Romney made a remarkable comeback in Sunday night’s Fox News debate, dominating his opponents. He capitalized on McCain’s weaknesses on tax and immigration policy. We attended a focus group of mainly undecided Republican voters arranged for Fox by pollster Frank Luntz. They entered the room before the debate widely divided and left it after the debate heavily for Romney — because of the immigration issue.



    It is beginning to look like a double-digit loss for Clinton.

    She was supposed to come out swinging against Obama in New Hampshire, but her boring, pedantic campaign style had not really changed from Iowa.

    In contrast, “Obamamania” reigns supreme — generating enthusiasm not seen since the 1968 campaign of Robert F. Kennedy. He attracts new voters and generates support across ideological and party lines. In truth, he worries Republicans sick, but for now, he threatens the long, slowly built Clinton campaign.

    Our election eve projection for New Hampshire:

    1st Place: Obama, going away.

    2nd Place: Clinton.

    3rd Place: Edwards.

    4th Place: New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson.

    http://www.humanevents.com/art…

  7. I showed no great talent at this when it came to predicting Iowa (though I did have McCain and Thompson essentially tied and Clinton finishing 3rd)…I doubt that will change this time ’round.  But here we go.

    Dems

    Obama:  Duh, he’s going to win…but by how much?  I say quite a bit.  42%

    Clinton:  Sad but true…our once front-runner is just hanging on for dear life.  They’ll be no “comeback kid” moment tonight.  31%

    Edwards:  If ANYONE noticed he was still in the race, he’d probably do better tonight.  Unfortunately the last 5 days have been all about “Obama-mania” and “Clinton’s demise” w/ little to no mention of that guy that finished 2nd in IA.  I hope I’m wrong on this one.  20%

    Richardson:  Yeah…who cares…  5%

    Repubs

    Again, not too interested in how the R’s side of things turn out…but whatever…

    McCain:  The “Straight Talk Express” is back on the road!  Yeah, I know that was pretty lame.  Johnny Mac looked good in the Sat night debate…not so good Sunday; but Indys probably didn’t see Sundays Mitt-fest on Fox News so it may not matter too much.  34%

    Romney:  Will all that cash produce a better GOTV operation than we saw in Iowa?  Mittens better hope so.  30%

    Huck:  The beauty here is that Huck doesn’t need to do all that well here…just be competitive and finish a distant 3rd.  He’ll do that tonight.  13%

    A noun, a verb, and 9/11…I mean Rudy:  Still just sitting back and waiting for Florida and other big states.  But how much longer can he wait to be competitive?  10%

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