Democrats hold an 18-17 majority in the State Senate following the Sept. 10 recall elections, a margin that will make several 2014 Senate races even more competitive than usual. There are 17 Senate seats up for grabs in 2014, and 8 of those seats are considered "safe" for one party or another.
The list of competitive Senate seats may change somewhat between now and next fall, depending on which candidate wins the primary in certain races and how each party fairs in recruiting strong candidates in other districts. But for now, we're keeping an eye on 6 seats that could decide the makeup of the state Senate in 2015. We're not yet including SD-3 in our list below, because while Democrat Angela Giron was ousted in the Sept. 10 recall, the voter makeup of that Pueblo district leans heavily towards Democrats; it would be a surprise if Republican George Rivera, who was selected to replace Giron in the recall, is able to win a full term next November.
DISTRICT/ STATUS | CANDIDATE | Q3 RAISED | COH TOTAL |
---|---|---|---|
SD-5 (Aspen/Central Mountains) STATUS: Democrat Open Seat |
Kerry Donovan (D) | $16,555 | $15,440 |
Don Suppes (R) | $2,959 | $2,864 | |
SD-11 (Colorado Springs) STATUS: GOP incumbent |
Sen. Bernie Herpin (R) | $0 | $0 |
Mike Merrifield (D) | $4,125 | $9,850 | |
Mike Maday (D) | $400.00 | $10,622 | |
SD-16 (West Jefferson County) STATUS: Democrat Incumbent |
Sen. Jeanne Nicholson (D) | $20,525 | $25,785 |
Tim Neville (R) | $13,549 | $39,924 | |
SD-20 (Jefferson County) STATUS: Democrat Incumbent |
Sen. Cheri Jahn (D) | $2,106 | $24,117 |
Robert Hogan (R)* | $0 | $0 | |
SD-22 (Jefferson County) STATUS: Democrat Incumbent |
Sen. Andy Kerr (D) | $14,400 | $25,029 |
Mario Nicolais (R) | $3,425 | $6,230 | |
Tony Sanchez (R) | $8,309 | $7,109 | |
SD-24 (Adams County) STATUS: Democrat Open Seat |
Judy Solano (D) | $10,946 | $17,211 |
No GOP candidate filed | |||
*Hogan filed candidate paperwork on 9/23/13
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While weak numbers from both; Interesting to see Tony Sanchez besting GOP establishment candidate, Mario Nicolais in their bid to unseat Andy Kerr.
I'm following SD-16 and Jeanne Nicholson. Neville has a big cash on hand advantage.
Concerned about the SD 16 race as well. Hope everyone can help support Senator Nicholson. Tim Neville is an RMGO extremist.
He'll lose badly. Republicans are finished and will be permanently removed from society.
Oh, I guess we can all stop contributing and volunteering then.
Aren't you supposed to do that sarcasm labeling thing?
Here's candidate Neville posing at the recall Hudak HQ with Mike Mcalpine, Greg Brophy, and some other guy in an RMGO shirt. This is from the Rocky Mountain Gun Owners FB page.
I don't know that the COH advantage is really significant, though it's something to watch. Sen. Nicholson has been doing a lot of outreach, and that takes money. She handily outraised Neville for the quarter, and she's actively campaigning already.
Definitely worth giving her some (more) campaign cash, though.
Jeanne is definitely good on the campaign trail and has won tight races before. She should get a bump from how awful the national Republicans have been but we're a looonnng ways away from election day 2014.
Mike Merrifield looks like a great candidate for SD11 (Morse's old seat) in the Springs.
Hope you are right. The guy is a real public servant
Mike Maday (who is a really good guy with a good future) withdrew a few days ago. And yes, Michael Merrifield was a great voice in the House, and will be a great voice in the Senate.
Huh, that brings up memories. I spent quite a few hours in a car with Mike Maday on the way to Council Bluffs, Iowa just before the Iowa caucus in 2008. I agree, he is a good guy.
Merrifield is, too. Unfortunately, he has a bit more of a partisan attitude, in my experience, than Morse did, but I still wish I still lived in the district so I could vote for him.
Ya gotta wonder: what's up with Lundberg in SD15? No filing yet. Is he still hunkered down in his hermitage with his tail between his legs after getting drubbed by Polis in CD2, or does he really think he's got a shot as a far-right Lt. Governorship (either in CO, or in Frackistan if he can convince the Larimer GOP to join the bandwagon)?
Interesting re: nicholson.
She outraised him this quarter at least. I looked into Neville and it looks like he is getting a lot of help from RMGO. Not just their PAC, but individual members contributing directly to him as well.
Here's their "Wanted" ad.
A Question: If Angela Giron would decide to run again, would the term limits restart?