U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 03, 2013 09:39 AM UTC
14 Comments
I think she may do just fine. If she had a single opponent she would be in trouble. But she doesn't. While the rest fight over the votes of the crazies and divide that up, she gets the votes of all the sane Republican primary voters. That may not be 50%, but I'll bet it's more than any of her opponents get when they divide up the crazies.
And it leaves her the one credible opponent to Udall.
You assume the number of "sane Republican primary voters" is large. "Time will tell…."
If she dosen't throw the crazies enough red meat, they will bring her down. Circular firing squad all over again. Should be fun times.
Credible chance against Udall? I wouldn't count on it. As for sane Republicans, three couples on my Littleton proper block used to fit that description. Until 2004. Much to my surprise they suddenly all had Kerry signs on their front lawns, hated Cheney/Bush and shortly after that election they all switched to unaffiliated with one couple passing right through unaffiliated and registering Dem in time for 2008. It's not the party for sane people in Colorado anymore.
I really don't see much daylight between Stephens and any primary opponents she may have. She voted against all of the gun legislation, against sex education in schools, and is only considered a "moderate" on abortion because she still supports rape and incest victims being able to obtain abortions.
She did rescind her support of the health care exchange in Colorado, and it hasn't apparently even done her any good with the crazy base to do so. They'll never support someone who advocates for, say, less money for insurors and more money in consumer's pockets. Or higher health care standards, and more community health center outreach.
They truly have painted themselves, and her, into a corner. And it's too bad, because my sense from meeting and talking with Amy when she still supported the health care exchange is that she genuinely cares about her constituents.
Yep. Hurts with the base. In light of all her other stands on issues, not enough to help with the sane middle.
There is certainly a sane middle in the United States but not in the Republican Party any more. Bue Cat, as you pointed out in a separate comment above, we've left the Republican Party in droves. The only so called Republicans left in the party are the extremist right wingers. The Republican Party needs to die out and be replaced by a center right party that is willing to build America instead of tearing down all the institutions we've built over the past two centuries.
Agree. The sane middle I was referring to who would be available to a Republican would largely be found among the unaffiliated, a very large chunk of the electorate in much of Colorado. Not an element in primaries but a huge element in statewide elections such as for Senate and Governor which is why I question her appealing enough to either win this GOTP primary on the one hand because of her unforgivable lapse into common sense on the state exchange issue or, in the unlikely event of winning a primary, being anything close to a credible candidate in a run against Udall as David suggested.
But since most Dems, very much including the majority of the Senate and President Obama, are now a bit to the right of where self proclaimed liberal Eisenhower was, I'd think you'd feel more comfortable just switching to Dem.
If you are Amy (and her advisors), you figure out how to "hate the Obama[care]" in the primary and then pivot to "I helped establish the successful Colorado Health Exchange" in the general.
That is why advisors get paid the big bucks.
Too late for the primary. On many issues such pivots are doable but not on this one, the one they have chosen as their most sacred, non-negotiable fight to the wasted 24 billion dollar death. As for the general, a single moment of common sense on something not terribly popular in the first place, won't be enough to give her statewide viability. The other side has well paid advisers too and tons of cash. Nope. Amy is a non-starter any way you look at it.
You mean "Buckpedal."
Amy Stephens was and is consistent in her support for the exchange while opposing the mandates of the PPACA. She stayed true to her promises despite intense political pressure, and deserves credit for helping reach across the aisle. Sure the far right will attack her, but she has a story to tell that highlights the Republican desire for real free market health care reform instead of top down Obamacare coercion. She will be proven correct.
Whatever. She's a non -starter.
While yes I am pulling the trigger I still stand firmly in opposition to the bullet coming out of the gun. OK Moderatus.