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November 14, 2005 09:00 AM UTC

Slow Start for Angie Paccione

  • 31 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

Democrat Angie Paccione’s campaign for congress against Republican Marilyn Musgrave (CD-4) is getting off to a slow start, and there is talk that she might even consider running for re-election to the State House instead.

Paccione’s fundraising is lagging after a mild initial two weeks only brought in $38,000. While she only had two weeks to formally raise money before the end of Q3, Paccione had essentially been running for CD-4 for almost six months and should have had many more commitments lined up.

Early reports are that the fundraising behemoth EMILY’s List has indicated that they are unlikely to back Paccione, and more importantly, the Gay and Lesbian Human Rights Campaign is not likely to support her with the same passion that they backed Stan Matsunaka in 2004. Paccione is apparently getting frustrated at the lack of support she has received thus far after expecting much stronger backing all around.

In the meantime, Paccione may have bought herself a tougher race if she decides to run for re-election instead; potentially damaging opposition research compiled by Musgrave’s office will be handed over to Republicans heading up efforts to win back the legislature.

Comments

31 thoughts on “Slow Start for Angie Paccione

  1. Angie Paccione has no chance of winning. No Democrat has a chance of winning against Musgrave.
    However, the Singing Cowboy would at least be entertaining.

  2. NBC, ABC, CNN, etc. etc. shows polling to be rediculously low for R’s all over the country.  Last Tuesday’s election shows us that they can and will be beaten in 2006.  Marilyn is the most vulnerable she has ever been in her political career and I’m sorry but Marvin the mule got more endorsements and is a better campaigner than Wes.  Angie has defied odds all of her life to succeed…and she will do it again.

  3. Laughable,
    The races last tuesday were won by Democrats in democratically held district and states.  Surprise surprise that California voted against a republican backed slate of economic reforms.  Virginia and New Jersey were already under democratic leadership in their executive mansions before the election.  Additionally this was a low turn out, off-year election cycle, you cannot possibly claim that it is an indicator of what is going to happen a year from now.

    I will give you Wes and his mule though, Marvin does stand a better chance at election than Wes.

  4. What does Angie expect after her slow-motion entry into the race?  Regardless of the political maneuverings, we want someone who is committed to leading the 4th CD, and until fairly recently her website was still talking about evaluating polling data to see whether it was worth running or not.  Even after she had declared her candidacy.

    Colorado Pols’ rumor-mongering had better be false in this case.  Musgrave is very vulnerable and has been like an empty seat in Congress, when the 4th CD deserves representation.  I think Angie Paccione can beat her and will receive necessary support.  But if she’s wavering even slightly, she needs to get out now so someone with conviction can take over.

  5. The only substantive, properly sourced item here is her fundraising. Other than that, it is “there is talk”, “early reports are”, “not likely to support” – unsubstantiated speculation and gossip.

    Worst of all is this – “potentially damaging opposition research compiled by Musgrave’s office.” Please tell me – are you saying that is a potential concern on general grounds for any candidate, or are you implying something more – that actual research has been done that is potentially damaging? If something more, what is your source for knowing about the oppo research? A disinterested party?

    Is there any reason for me to not think that this is simply an assassination-by-innuendo post?

  6. larimer R,

    Yes, CA rejected the Governator’s reforms – no huge surprise there, though a bit of worry.  Yes, NJ is a blue state – Corzine’s win was in doubt only because NJ Dems have a lot of corrupt party machinery which he seems to be avoiding.  Virginia is trending blue, but Kaine’s win shows that Dem victories aren’t just a fluke there anymore.

    The big news is more in the local elections.  It’s hard to round up local election news, but last Tuesday saw some interesting Dem gains in rural Virginia and other traditionally Republican areas.  When the folks who know better go looking at election results, it is these local races that are getting Democrats fired up.

  7. Larimer R-

    Last time I checked, the Virginia State House is held by a substantial majority of Republican Legislators. 

    The Real big suprise suprise in California is that all of the R crony multi-millionares, incuding Arnold, spent millions of their own dollars to watch their radical initiatives get severly beaten.  Surely they had polling…..

    ….just like the millionares on either side of the ticket in New Jersey did.  Which showed that Bush’s approval ratings were so low, the Dem camp went up with a track explaining how Bush supports the R candidate.  For the record, he then won in a landslide. 

    I don’t know if its a coincidence that this same situation occured in ’93, a year before R’s took control of congress.

    Rumors are just that, rumors. 

    Fundraising is and will always be the key.

  8. I think it is hard to judge a congressisonal campaign only two weeks out of the gate. Yeah there was plenty of build up, but it was during a heavily fought state ballot initiative and most donors were concentrating their mopney there. Now that is over, we should see some pick up for Angie.

    I will be disappointed if Emily’s List ultmiately doesn’t endorse Paccione, but I am not surprized about the gay group. They have twice funded loosing campaign in that CD now.

    I’ll reserve judgement on Angie’s performace until after the holidays and see how she does for 4Q fundraising. Which reminds me, I haven;t sent my 4Q check to her yet. 🙂

  9. Once again, Colorado Pols over-indulges in selected hearsay that is dead wrong. Give it a couple of months, mark this post, and we’ll see how write the “reports” were.

  10. ColoradoPols DOES NOT allow posting of unsubstantiated rumors regarding persons.
    WHAT OPPOSITION REASEARCH? What do you know? What have you heard? What did you see? C’mon Dead Guv’s.
    You wouldn’t be smearing a candidate by “insuating” something you don’t know for sure, I know you just wouldn’t do that. So c’mon, dish!

  11. No Democrat has a chance of winning against Musgrave.

    Musgrave only won by 6% last time, that’s perilously low for an incumbent – especially one running against an opponent who ran an bad campaign.

    Factor in the growing distaste for the current Congress, Musgrave’s preoccupation with fringe social issues while ignoring her district, and the President cement coattails and your assertion becomes even more ridiculous.

  12. “Musgrave only won by 6% last time, that’s perilously low for an incumbent – especially one running against an opponent who ran an bad campaign.”

    I would point out that she outspent Matsunaka by more than 3-1 as she was eeking out the election and the President was carrying the district by a 15 point margin.  Musgrave is emminently beatable and Paccione can do it, if she has the cash…

  13. WRONG.  Marilyn got millions of dollars thrown at her from 527’s in the form of ads that Time magazine called “the sleaziest in the U.S.”  Factor in a fundraiser by the President this go-around, an opponent who is running an unorganized and almost unfunded campaign, and you got an incumbent that will be extremely hard to beat.

  14. The Ds should stop playing mission impossible by trying to knock off Marilyn and seize the time to take the 7th CD.  Who ever runs against marilyn will get millions from gay activist groups but she’ll match them dollar for dollar from social conservatives. 
    Since there are a lot more religious right voters in the 4th than gays, this is a lock.  But Ds can take 7th, gov., hold the lege and probably pick up treasurer, if their new candidate is for real.  Not a bad agenda and where I”d put my discretionary dollars, not in the 4th.

  15. Hey Angie Fans!
    1. When it was said that Emily’s LIst was not on Board for Peggy Lamm they wrote a note saying how much they in fact liked Peggy. Is Emily’s List shown any indication at all that they will do anything for Angie? Even a hint? Or, merely wishful thinking?
    2. How much money has Angie raised?
    Not pledges, not promises, greenbacks, hard currency, checks that have cleared the bank?

  16. Well I see all the Angie supporters cannot refute the simple fact that she has no real financial support, no commitment from Emily’s List, no nothing. Bye-bye Angie Hello Wes.
    Wes can beat Musgrave.

  17. …Just as I expect.  Angie will be a bigger loser than Stan.  Dream on Three Blind Mice or is that Coloradodem?  Which one do you want to be today?

  18. Here is a positive update about Angie Paccione’s campaign for the fourth Congressional district. 

    First, Angie is fully committed, and has been for months, to defeating Marilyn Musgrave.  She has no intention of running for the State House in 2006.  Second, she is working hard to receive Emily’s List endorsement and has been in constant communication with them for months.  She is confident that she will receive their support when they make their financial contribution decisions next year.  Third, there are no new opposition research allegations that will be detrimental to Angie?s strong bid to represent the people of the 4th CD.  The recent rumor about new allegations were simply fantastical hyperbole.  Angie is, and has always been, upfront with the voters of Colorado about everything in her past.  That?s what makes her such a refreshing person in politics, especially to unaffiliated households.  She is open and honest with people and a straight shooter.

    Furthermore, Angie has been in constant communication with the DCCC and in personal contact with Congressman Rahm Emmanuel, the chair of the DCCC for months.  After Angie attended a recent DCCC reception in Washington, D.C., numerous PAC?s called the DCCC after the reception to praise Angie.  One well-known lobbyist said that Angie was the best challenger candidate that he had seen in DC in years.  Furthermore, the DCCC listed Angie as one of their top 10 pick-up seats in 2006.  Check out Angie’s top-10 listing on: http://www.dccc.org/campaignforchange/candidates/

    Finally, the obvious reason that both Vice-President Cheney and President Bush have each hosted fundraisers in Colorado for Marilyn Musgrave during the past five months is due to the fact they are extremely worried about Marilyn Musgrave?s pathetically low re-elect number.  They also know from their internal polling data that Angie Paccione is the real-deal and will attract Republican female and Unaffiliated male voters away from Marilyn.  Angie stands an excellent chance to defeat Marilyn next year.

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