President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 05, 2014 10:32 AM UTC
41 Comments
Hick is losing Independents to every Republican candidate except for Tancredo. Not a good sign.
I did not see that in the cross tabs.
Can you tell where (page #) where you see that?
Thanks
Isn't it enough that AC is so concerned? Heartwarming really.
Dave: It is part of the Press Release, click on the link on line 2, latest polling, scroll down and it is right there.
How many of those Independents were Tancredo ACS voters last time around, or Republicans who don't want to admit to being Republicans?
Given Q-poll's final weighting with a Hickenlooper win, I'm guessing they found an outsized imbalance. The number doesn't scare me, nor should it scare the Governlooper.
Please provide page # and approx line # as I do not see it.
It's there, other news outlets have also reported it. Are you blind or just in denial?
Dave, It is the fourth column in blue ink, between the parties and sex make-up of those polled.
Hick is beating every GOP challenger. A very good sign. He's also doing much better with women voters than the GOP are. No surprise there as the GOP continue their war on women. This is another good sign. Bringing up independents when ignoring that Hick is beating every right winger makes you look desperate.
The Republicans need to choose moderate to conservative Hispanics, especially women. This kind of political pragmatism would draw from these demographics and put the Republicans over the top in a statewide contest.
https://www.facebook.com/coloradohispanicrepublicans
The women and people of color who get anywhere in GOTP politics these days have to be that much more extreme to please the base and they don't attract more votes from women or Hispanics just because they have vaginas or Hispanic last names.
The Republicans need to glean about 5% voters on the margins, and these are not only low-info but also identity voters who consider gender and ethnicity … and yes, surnames. Ask anyone from southern Colorado … it matters!
Bottom line, the GOTP isn't going to figure a way to do better among women and Hspanics soon enough for 2014.
Comparing Hicks numbers in November to this release, Hick is losing support among Independents. Only reason he is ahead is Republicans still are figuring out who their candidate will be. If it is not Tancredo, things are looking good. If Hick is relying on Dem turnout, I don't see that happening.
Be careful about spinning that hard. You'll get dizzy and puke up your guts.
Sometimes, like now, I wish Pols had a Like button. Because if it did, I would definitely Like your comment Ralphie.
As if Pols doesn't spin just as hard or harder.
According to the latest numbers, it looks like 17% of Republicans would be voting for Hickenlooper today if the Republican candidate is Tancredo. That's 7% higher than for any of the other Republican candidate going up against Hicklenlooper.
Now if all the Republicans can avoid opening their mouths between now and election day it'll be ____ in a landslide!
You are cherry picking your data points. Nice try.
See page 6. "Does Hick deserver to be re-elected?"
The numbers are flat over the last 8 months. Remember, the MoE is 2.9%.
Somebody must be reading my comments in Pols.
http://coloradopeakpolitics.com/2014/02/05/hickenlooper-loses-independents-republican-trumps-hick-in-head-to-head-matchup/
These guys are geniuses.
We'll see who the geniuses are come November.
What's really stunning about the Colorado Peaks post is that they flat out lied about the data from the Q poll.
Here's the actual Q data on Hick vs whatever R:
Here's what Colorado Peak Politics put up:
See the difference? They have no shame.
You beat me to it. Colorado peak politics is run by right wing extremists. They are spinning this poll how they see fit. Hick is beating all GOP challengers and that is what counts. The GOP has a very weak field and more than likely, the loser Tancredo is going to be the one that faces Hick and we know what a loser Tancredo is.
CPP hate the truth. They bring up independents because they can't stand to mention that Hick is beating all of their GOP candidates. haha hICK is not losing independents by all that much. CPP live in their own little reality and they know deep down Hick is going to get another 4 years and it eats them up knowing that, so they will try to spin polls how they see fit.
CPP mentions that Hick is losing independents, but says NOTHING about Hick beating every GOP challenger. CPP are a joke. The best the right can do is Tancredo. Tancredo was an extremist in 2010. He has changed. Who wants to bet Tancredo will be a two time loser come this November???
Yo Moma: They were referring to Independants. Check out their numbers.
Hick is not losing independents overwhelmingly. Hick will win the MAJORITY of dems and he will get some independent support and he's doing much better with womn voters than the GOP are. These facts make Hick's chances he will het another 4 years look pretty good.
It's funny. CPP doesn't even allow comments… trying to keep the crazies quiet. No Debates!!!! No comments please!!!
They absolutely allow comments. I try to comment at least once a day at CPeak.
And they haven't kicked you off yet? You're holding back… 😉
Yup.
Then, if it's all determined by the indie vote, why does Hick still manage poll ahead of everyone head to head among all voters? Never mind. You know why. You're just trolling.
I'm more worried about the presidential race. coloradopeakpolitics says Romney has that won and Obama losing would be an even bigger issue for us Dems.
Funny you should mention Romney – I answered a national phone poll last night and Romney was included several times as an option for 2016. In fact, Romney was mentioned I think one time more than the next most frequently asked-about candidate, Christie. Jeb got third place for number of mentions in questions.
ROMNEY — In a Landslide!!!!!!!!!!!
That's a standard Peak line whenever these polls come out: "Hick may be up, but he's losing independents!"
No one is paying attention to your parroted comments.
No Lincoln or Douglas here.
More like Buehler.
The only interesting thing about the governor's race is whether the GOP will still qualify as a major party in Colorado. They barely squeaked in with the 2010 election.
Where's Dan Maes when you need him (again)?
Speaking of which, the ACS is a major party until the end of this election – where are they in this race?
Found this at a site called Independent Political Report:
The Constitution Party posted this very preliminary list of candidates for 2014 on itsFacebook page:
—
James R. Fariello, Adams County Sheriff, American Constitution Party, Colorado.
Joshua Screws, HD 31, Constitution Party of Alabama
Derrick Douglas, HD 91, Constitution Party of Alabama
Jennifer Young, Secretary of State, Wyoming Constitution Party
David Lory Vanderbeek, Governor, Nevada Independent American Party
Dean Barton, Constitution Party of Minnesota
Tim Utz, Constitution Party of Minnesota
Phil Hudok, United States Senate, Constitution Party of West Virginia
Lori Stacey, US House, Constitution Party of South Dakota
Curtis Strong, Governor of South Dakota, Constitution Party of South Dakota
J.R. Myers, Governor of Alaska, Constitution Party of Alaska
—
The list is noteworthy because it lists the Nevada Independent American Party, and not the Constitution Party of Nevada that was recognized last month by the State of Nevada.