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June 04, 2014 12:11 PM UTC

Bob Beauprez Still Losing, According to Poll from Bob Beauprez

  • 24 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols
Republican Bob Beauprez
Hee, hee

There is a certain amount of buffoonery associated with Republican gubernatorial candidate Bob Beauprez that almost makes us wish his name was always on the ballot. He's like a cartoon character that keeps standing on the big X on the sidewalk, even though he knows it will result in a piano falling on his head. He just can't help himself.

It happened again yesterday afternoon when new poll results were released at the behest of the Beauprez campaign. Only Bob Beauprez would go out of his way to remind you that he's not winning.

According to survey results released by Magellan Strategies — a Republican polling outfit commissioned by Beauprez's campaign — Tom Tancredo is still leading the GOP field for Governor. From Fox 31:

The survey of more than 900 likely Republican primary election voters, conducted May 28th and 29th, shows Tom Tancredo atop the field with 27 percent support. Beauprez, who didn’t enter the race until late February and has been spending a lot of his own money to try to consolidate the anti-Tancredo vote behind his campaign, is polling at 25 percent, within the poll’s three percent margin of error.

Here's the breakdown from the poll:

Tom Tancredo: 27%
Bob Beauprez: 25%
Scott Gessler: 13%
Mike Kopp: 10%
Undecided: 25%

Beauprez is obviously trying hard to consolidate support among likely Republican voters, a task made all the more difficult by his historically-awful 2006 campaign for Governor. Clearly Team Beauprez thinks it needs to convince GOP voters that Beauprez is not a complete disaster as a candidate — though it might be wise to listen to a different group of consultants at this point. Magellan Strategies is the same group that Beauprez paid in March to conduct a survey showing that Gov. John Hickenlooper would absolutely kick the shit out of him in November (results that ended up in the hands of Politico).

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24 thoughts on “Bob Beauprez Still Losing, According to Poll from Bob Beauprez”

    1. Thank god for that 3% MOE.  I hate seeing Gessler out of the basement, even if it is a polling error!!

       

      [insert Moddy nonsense below]

      1. No Moddy nonsense here, but in its place I need to say I love the hee hee caption, because thats Bob in 6 letters.  Almost as good as the beso de la muerte.  Top shelf Pols !

  3. I'm tempted to make a joke about Elliot trying to sandpaper off his "Gessler 4 Ever" tattoo, but we all know that was done with a Sharpie.    

  4. If you're sane enough to win the general, you're not crazy enough to win the primary. Your recipe for success right there.

  5. Best keep Modster away from guns and sharp objects. And high ledges. Bodies of water. Draino. Ropes, bridges, busy highways, drugs….

  6. I bet that the "Undecided" 25% are actually planning to vote for Hick

    Love it if they had put Hick's name on the poll of Republican voters to see how he rates against the parade of clowns!

  7. Beauprez isn't anywhere near as close as his so called poll indicates.

    Here are the fundraising numbers for the four Republican gubernatorial candidates for the past two weeks including number of contributors:

    Gessler          $38,000          338 contributors

    Tancredo        $38,000          500 contributors

    Kopp              $25,000           81 contributors

    Beuaprez        $22,000 + $100,000 loan    73 contributors

    Mr. Beuaprez couldn't even raise more money than former St. Sen. Kopp and he was also dead last in number of contributors over the past two weeks with a paltry 73 which leads to a different way to look at this poll.

    First, how was the head-to-head question worded and how was the sample determined (more on the sample below). Assuming the head-to-head question was worded properly, I think Mr. Beuaprez released this poll to try and convince Gessler and Kopp supporters that they are throwning their vote away and therefore they should change and vote forhim. However, even if that is true it won't work. The mail-in ballots began hitting everyone's mail box yesterday and most people vote within 24 to 72 hours after they receive their ballot. How many will see this poll before they vote. Hardly anyone. Even if some of Gessler's and Kopp's voters abandon them there is no guarantee they will vote for Beauprez. 

    Beauprez appears desperate. He can't break through so he commissions a poll of allegedly 900 likely primary voters and loaned his campaign $100,000 on May 28, 2014 so he could do a paltry media buy of about $60,000.

    The poll sample of 900 looks suspicious. Most statewide campaigns commission polls using a sample of between 400 to 600 likely voters to find out where their candidate is at a given moment. 900 is an odd number. Is it possible Beauprez had his pollster figur out which demographics favored him and then had the pollster add more likely Republican voters from those demographics to make the race closer than its. In other words, using a normal sample with balance demographics for most likely Republican voters, is Beauprez really only two points behind Tancredo? 

    We'll see. All the other indicators show Beauprez's campaign is fading fast with very few donors and life support through candidate self funding. 

    2. "Now those of you that were around think back about seven or eight years ago. Was anybody really saying that the oil and gas industry were somehow out of control or damaging our environment? "

      You're goddamned right we did, Bob. Citizens from all over the state went to the Capitol and convinced the legislature to pass 3 bills that turned the tide in the history of oil and gas policy in Colorado.

      You were just too busy whispering to elk to have noticed.

       

       

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