CO-04 (Special Election)
See Full Big Line
(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
September 08, 2014 11:01 AM UTC
32 Comments
Yes, but according to our resident librarian, if you take the text of the poll and look at it kinda sideways holding it at arms length and squint it looks like Cory Gardner in a landslide.
So there.
Naturally. It's hard to imagine any reasons why Gardner wouldn't be popular with Latinos, independents, women, and youg voters…
Yes, I can hear Zippy going, “BUT, BUT, BUT Nate Silver said last week that Gardner had a 50.01% chance of winning!”
I expect several more polls this month. Don't know why all the polling outfits took last month off in our state.
Rasmussen's poll showing Beauprez ahead might be an outlier – or it might be a sign that being as wishy-washy (or outright frack-friendly) as Hickenlooper can be does nothing to motivate your base.
Rasmussen is no longer the clearly right leaning poll it was. It's all over the place. In fact, it now and for many months has consistently shown lower disapproval ratings for Obama than any other polls. What's encouraging to me is the upward trajectory in recent polling ranging from one or two point leads for Udall to the Marist 6 but with no recent polling showing any lead for Gardner. As more tune in and Gardner becomes more than just the generic Republican option, I think we'll see Udall's lead solidifying further.
Also, Republicans need a much better advantage than that among married women to win.
As for Hick, I think this Rasmussen pol is just another example of how all over the place they are lately on different races. It's just a one point lead and the polling has been close. I still think, when push comes to shove, Dems and most Dem leaning indies are going to vote for Hick, even if with little real enthusiasm, because of very strong enthusiasm for stopping nut case BWB. I predict small but consistent leads in poll averages as election day approaches with a win for Hick. We don't elect tinfoil hat Guvs.
Plenty of Democrats are frack friendly, don't think that would hurt him that much.
It helps with the same moderate Rs who helped elect him in the first place.
fe
rack friendly may curb liberal enthusiasm both both ways bob is wiorth. I think its time clobber bwbfor trying to eliminate backgrounds checks on guns and wanting 100 round magazines for serials. gop primary is over, that is poison with moderate women
I think capital punishment will hurt Hick more than anything else. Frackers will stay with Hick. Most of us will stay with Hick even though unhappy re fracking. Hick might only win by 8-10
Plenty of time for clobbering and I'm sure ads from supporters will while Hick sticks to usual sunny ads.Supporting ads should also stress all the tinfoil hat stuff. Wacko quotes abound and our middle isn't fond of that kind of thing.
Hey. Same day as Rassie's
9/2 – 9/4
795 LV
3.5
43
39
Hickenlooper +4
Left out poll. Another NBC Marist
Get my ballot in 5+ weeks. Yea!
I hate to say it but I don't think Udall is even close to being out of the woods and beating Cory the Con Artist. My observations both in GJ and Denver is that Udall's campaign is a top down urban media centric campaign. I frankly felt sorry for the poor college students (one I met is from Missouri and had never set foot in Colorado until last month) who kept trying to accomodate local supporters. Retail politics – not sure what's going on there inso far as door to door but I did ask for a yard sign only to be told they probably weren't going to have any (not cost effective is what I was told). The afternoon and evening left me desparing over Udall's campaign. Hopefully the polls are right and I'm just "running scared" on Udall's chances.
The poll numbers simply don't warrant such irrational fears. But the scummy lying Koch trolls will be more than happy to give you a "pep talk."
Don't worry about JG. It's not voting Dem anyway. Can't believe there won't be yard signs though. I do know yard signs aren't encouraged this early. They get to be like wallpaper by election time. Here in Littleon the Dem organizers like to get lots of signs out at once (Bam. One day you drive to work and suddenly they're everywhere) and much closer to election time so they have the most impact. Sometimes those college kid imports don't know what they're talking about. Never heard of a Senatorial election without yard signs ever becoming available. Money shouldn't be such problem for a nationally hyped camapaign that they can't afford signs. That's silly.
that woild be campaign.
can't win… "would"
I don't think that's an unreasonable concern; if anything it's living in reality. This site has a tendency to paint an overly-optimistic picture of what's going on.
Even though I've lived in the Front Range for the entire time I've lived in this state, I know full well that there is more to Colorado politics than what happens in the Denver-Boulder area.
For the record, I'm supporting Udall. I think he still has a chance to win, provided that he doesn't take anything for granted–it's not over until the polls have closed on Election Day–or let his campaign devolve into an echo chamber..
Not an unreasonable concern but I'd say Udall has more than just a chance of winning.
Udall, and Democrats in general, need to be careful not to overplay their hand, as the current DNC chair has done at times with abortion and the "war on woman" meme.
I'm a registered Democrat and strongly favor keeping abortion legal but I also know that Udall is going to need more than just the registered D's to win. Furthermore, pro-lifers aren't going to vote for Udall (for obvious reasons), however, abortion isn't the defining issue for everyone, including those who believe it should remain a legal (and safe) medical procedure.
Agree there. Udall and Romanoff both need to also stress that it isn't a choice between one side being good on those issues or the other if the economy is your primary concern. Republican trickle down economics is a total failure and they should send the message that with them (Udall and Romanoff) you get sensible policy on abortion, birth control, and solid economics.
Great job spinning Udall's lack of movement and the fact that Hickenlooper is now LOSING to Bob Beauprez.
I thought that Honey Badger was the only one that had any chance of beating Hick (which is why he's going to run away with it at the Primary you just wait and see Scott Gessler is going…all…the…WAY!!!).
Your delusions and asinine spin are hilarious, Zippy. We want you to cling to them until the election.
moderatus, you right wing nut, The nbc marist poll has Hickenlooper beating Beauprez by 4. No sane person thinks Beauprez, a proven statewide LOSER who lost by 17 points to a demcorat in 2006 has a chance again Hickenlooper. get your tissues ready for the shellackings Gardner and Beauprez will receive in 2 months.
In Zippy World, a four-point lead means that Hick is losing.
Hey, it worked for Romney and Gessler. : )
bad news for Gardner. He's losing badly to Udall with young and women voters. LOL
https://today.yougov.com/news/2014/09/07/battleground-tracker-2014-colorado/