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November 04, 2014 05:00 PM UTC

Election Night 2014 Open Thread

  • 103 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

UPDATE: Governor's race appears unlikely to be decided anytime soon. You can probably go to bed if you're waiting on that one.

—–

UPDATE: AP calls the Colorado U.S. Senate race for Cory Gardner, presently up 51-44%.

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UPDATE 7:54 pm: 9News calls Attorney General for Republican Cynthia Coffman. So, good night if your last name is Coffman.

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UPDATE: 9News calls CD-6 for Republican Mike Coffman.

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UPDATE: 9News projecting that Amendment 67 & 68 will fail, as will Proposition 105. Proposition 104 will pass.

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UPDATE (7:15 pm): Early results in Jefferson County with 211k votes counted:

John Hickenlooper: 50%
Bob Beauprez: 46%

Cory Gardner: 48.07%
Mark Udall: 46.47%

Important to note here that Republicans Tim Neville and Laura Woods are ahead in these same results…which means Republican downballot voters are not voting with the top of the ticket.

—–

UPDATE (7:01): Big first update from 9News:

UPDATE (7:00): Still long lines for voting in Colorado. Here's Harvey Park in West Denver:

HarveyPark-Voting
Harvey Park in West Denver

 

—–

UPDATE (6:43 pm): ABC News calls New Hampshire Senate race for Democrat Jeanne Shaheen. Republican Scott Brown now looking for a third state for 2016.

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UPDATE (6:05 pm): Turnout has surpassed 2010 numbers. Lines up to 2 hours long on campus at University of Colorado.

—–

UPDATE (5:05 pm): CNN says Republican Mitch McConnell will be re-elected in Kentucky.

—–

Watch this space.

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103 thoughts on “Election Night 2014 Open Thread”

  2. So I'm in Seattle (for a conference) and figured I was not going to follow the returns because it won't make much difference. And I'm glued to the computer watching the results come in. Still addicted to the game even if the results don't make much difference.

     

     

    1. Republicans will declare a complete repudiation of Obama. Senate will start ACA repeal process. House will start impeachment. Dems will keep tail between legs as it has been this entire election season and bemoan its horrible base that couldn't see fit to vote them in again. I see a difference.

      2. I do see a difference between Hick and BWB.  BWB, who claims to be a devout Catholic by the way (see:  Pope Francis' recent statement on the death penalty), says his first act in office would be to lift the reprieve and get Nathan Dunlap's execution date set.  Hick, on the other hand, realizes that the DP is unfair, irrationally applied, ineffective, and unrepairable.  So, I am rooting for Hick even if I find his centrist neoliberal agenda nearly intolerable.

    2. Passive-aggressive is a type of addiction, I guess.  Nobody gives a shit what you think, David.

      Meanwhile, I just returned from my third canvass for the day.  And, the boiler room operating out of my house is in full swing responding to long lines in Aurora.

  3. I made a bunch of calls this afternoon. I actually talked to two people who hadn't quite realized they had to get their ballots dropped off (and not mailed) today by 7:00 and two people who couldn't figure out where to go.  They all promised me they would vote.  🙂

    1. I did  targeted door knocking Sunday and one young woman told me she had filled it out and would mail it Monday. Glad I was able to tell her not to do that and where to drop it Monday instead.

  4. And the real election fraud of 2014 comes in: thousands of election judges received calls that appeared and sounded like they were from the Chicago Board of Elections, telling them not to show up because they lacked extra training. As a result, the city reports that a number of polling locations never opened for voting.

    http://politics.suntimes.com/article/chicago/city-dirty-trick-judges-illegal-6-precincts-stay-open-late/tue-11042014-341pm

    2. Hope people go to jail. As far as I'm concerned it should be a hard time felony to conspire to stop people from being able to exercise their right to vote. Let's see how smart they feel doing 5 years before they're up for parole.

  12. As Republicans use every ebb and flow of the economy to justify tax cuts, Democrats sue every ebb and flow of the electorate to justify a further move to the right. 

    Both are wrong.

        1. It's all down to the state then.  I think Boulder, some Denver, Pueblo and the Fort are still out, which bodes well for Hick.  Shame if the state senate flips, though.  Especially with those nutbags down in Jeffco.

  19. Good news in Pueblo….Bo Ortiz will still be Clerk…No victory for Victor Head. Daneya Esgar won in HD46. Sal Pace beat out the wife-beater Tom Ready. Leroy Garcia won against George Rivera for Senate. Clarice Navarro, unfortunately, won against Lucretia Robinson in HD47.

    Mark Udall lost in Pueblo by less than 100 fricking votes.

    Yay. Yay. Yay. Yay. Damn. Damn.

  20. "Given the choice between a Republican and someone who acts like a Republican, people will vote for the real Republican every time."  

    –Harry S. Truman

    3. Isn't that exactly what you were saying the Republicans would be saying when the Democrats won?  Time to recalibrate that crystal ball, pup. 

    2. Colorado down ballot results so far…Max Tyler will keep his HD23 seat, Andy Kerr still holding on in 22. Tim Neville (really? Really. may defeat Jeanne Nicholson  in HD16 ) Most of the State races still are nail-biters.

      Looks like Polis keeps his seat. Abel Tapia gave Tipton a good challenge, but hasn't broken 40% yet. Lois Fornander showed strong against Klingenschmitt, but yeah, we will have at least a couple of years of other political blogs taunting us about "At least, he's not your State Representative."

      Elliot Fladen, you EPCO Repubs have a lot to answer for ( Two years of Klingenschmitt). You thought that a sweet old Christian would be better for the gays than an outright vicious corrupt homophobe (David Williams). I take some comfort in the fact that you all will have plenty of embarrassment coming your way from El Gordo the Klingon. He will definitely skew what it means to be a Republican. And make your guys look moderate. Perhaps that's the point.  At least Bernie Herpin will be defeated….

      Really bad news for education: Looks like Henry Roman may lose to Republican Marcia Neal for State Board of Education. Damn again.

        1. Well, those EPCO friends are now going to be represented by a crazy person who thinks that demons are real and haunt bathrooms in order to turn Christians gay. Good luck with that.

          1. How is this news?  We all knew Gordon was going to win months ago, as soon as the primary was finished.  In any event, I fully expect that he will be an excellent source for many Pols stories going forward. 

            1. True on both counts – still, EPCO folks deserved better, whether they knew it or not.  And I do take mighty consolation in how embarrassing Klingenschmitt will be for y'all. Tarnish the GOP brand in the Springs for years to come, hopefully.
               

  24. It did not often seem like Udall really wanted to hold the seat.  I suspect he's–for a politician–a decent guy, in many ways.  But, next time, we'll need somebody who's fiery and hard-hitting to unseat Chance.

  25. Prelim. post-mortem:

    Our dirty little secret, round two:  We've used my house in Centennial as a staging location for 2008, 2010, 2012 and now 2014.  The number of volunteers has dropped off the cliff each time, to where we had virtually no volunteers this campaign.  I was hoping the large number of paid out-of-state staffers might make up the difference, but apparently not.  

    We need to have a discussion about why we are failing to motivate volunteers to canvass and make calls.  It has a lot to do with piss poor Democratic messaging (Udall actually promoted the SImpson-Bowles Act during the Clinton rally in Lakewood — that went over like a lead balloon).  We should have highlighted the fact that Gardner is among the ten most conservative members in Congress.  And, not just because of Personhood; e.g., shutting down the government, lowering our debt rating, etc., etc, etc.

     I have also said in the past that we should treat our most diehard volunteers much better.  I proposed a party for our best volunteers the week before the 2012/13 Inauguration, but was shot down.  Consequently (?), our most effective volunteer from the 08-12 campaigns did not show up at all this time, along with the hundreds of volunteers from his/her lists.

    Effective businesses are characterized by great messaging and premier treatment of their best customers.  The Dems need to run campaigns more like a business.

     

  27. Seems to me, the other major losers tonight are the polling companies.  Did any of the major outfits get anything right?

    When you think you have a super tight race and GOTV will push you over the victory line, and then see margins of 6 or 7 percent, that's just bizarre.

    The post-mortem on the numbers will be very educational for the next election.

    But obviously, the lesson is "messaging, messaging, messaging"

  28. Good Lord.  Don't tell me Beauprez is going to be our Governor.  Someone talk me down and tell me that the outstanding votes are coming from D strongholds.

    1. Not enough are, or they'd call it for Hick.  We really don't know how this one wil roll out.  Don't jump yet, but having a glass of wine out on the balcony might be in order.

  29. I suspect that it all boils down to the skin color of the person in the White House. As I mentioned before, the President's popularity is only low with white conservative….wait, make that reactionary…voters, who skew the polls much lower than they otherwise would be. 

    "Limited federal government" is racist, dishonorable, despicable, un-American, and morally wrong. (I'd be in favor of eliminating all state and local governments in exchange for a strong, Republican-free federal government. …No one would even notice if Jeffco's "government" disappeared…..)

  30. Bright spot of the evening? Eggmendment III went down in flames just like the first two. Downer of the night in CO? Voters elected Cory Gardner, they guy who supported Personhood at both the State and Federal levels. I love voters, really.

    Other downer of the night – sounds like I have a Republican State Senator for the first time since I moved to Gilpin County 14 years ago, and he's got ethics issues before he's sworn in.

    1. Never understood why people vote against themselves. Gardner will screw members of the middle class so fast people won't know what hit them. 

      I mean, Karl Rove came right out and said that his tax plan was to increase taxes for the middle class so the rich could have less taxes, over and over again, and members of the middle class still voted for Bush. 

      This stuff is just completely senseless. 

       

  31.  

    Let's not forget (or forgive) our unspoken biggest loser of this cycle — Michael Bennett.  The DSCC sucked a big one, especially here in his home state. (Newsfuckingflash — Cory Gardner is not Ken Buck!  Newsfuckingflash 2 — it's 2014)!  I suspect the DSCC will be looking for new leadership?

    Next — if you're a down ballot Democrat, don't forget to throw a big FU to Hickenlooper. (I've been saying for months that Hick voters would hold their nose, but would take revenge on the down ticket.)

  33. A lot of commenters here (unfortunately) need to eat crow to commenter AC.  Every time he'd analyze the numbers of ballots returned, people would just cuss at him and call him an idiot.  It was an embarrassing level of discourse from my side.  Whereas AC, except for a bizarre use of large fonts to make his points, was generally civil in trying to make his case.  

  34. Rachel Maddow made the point on her show last night that every modern American president who has served two terms has faced a Congress controlled by the opposition party in the last two years of the second term.  So this is in line with history and the narrative that this is an unprecedented rejection of Obama's policies is just not right.  Still sucks though.

    1. Remember the 105th Congress? The one that impeached President Clinton for something that ought to have remained between his wife and himself? I anticipate this Congress will be equally power-drunk and attempt similar over-reaches. Look for a severe course correction two years from now. 

    1. Like the Post editorial board, the public's endorsement of Gardner makes absolutely no sense. Of course a candidate completely on board with the tactics of obstruction and holding the government's ability to function hostage in an attempt to get what they couldn't via the democratic process isn't going to be part of changing dysfunction in Washington any more than his family of four ever had excellent coverage for a mere $650 a month at any time during the the 21st century. But Udall's campaign, like all the campaigns of Democratic Senatorial candidates in competitive states as directed by the democratic leadership, most notably Harry Reid and Michael Bennet was completely out of touch, tone deaf and cowardly. 

      Why cowardly? Because they were all so afraid of association with their President that they refused to so much as mention the extent of economic recovery achieved under his administration. So afraid of "Obamacare"  and the ridiculous talking point about the big lie that they refused to  talk about the very real improvements in access to health care that ACA has brought to millions. Afraid to talk about environmental issues, climate change, renewable energy as a job creator and on and on.  You hardly even heard them bring up raising the minimum wage, something that polls really well.

      The sad reality is that Americans poll strongly in favor of what should have been winning positions for Dems but the Dems refused to run on those issues. The overwhelmingly low info voting public really had no way of knowing they were on the same page as the Dems on so many issues. All they heard in Colorado until the  damn ballots were mailed out was abortion rights from Udall with a few too little too late ads on other issues.  

      Turns out those of us who deplored the Udall campaign's 90% focus on abortion rights were right. Across the country similar narrow focus on supposed women's issues and Hispanic issues produced the same results. Women and Hispanics are also people and we all care about about more than one or two issues specific to our gender or ethnicity. Like the economy, stupid.

      I'm truly disappointed in Romanoff's inability to even make it close but the Udall campaign and Democratic Senatorial campaigns in general were abysmal. Reid and Bennet, along with president Obama who has also done an incredibly lousy job of communicating his administration's accomplishments in what seems like a continuing delusional attempt to keep reaching across the aisle to his implacable enemies and not come across as too partisan (as if bragging about Dem accomplishments will offend the Rs in congress and make them, what, hate him even more?) must bear much of the blame. Come to think of it, that might be part of the reason Dem pols haven't been exactly gung ho about going out on any limbs for him. He 's been pretty dismissive of his own side of the aisle , for years blaming dysfunction on extremists on both sides while Dems were offering compromise after compromise and Rs were rejecting everything.  Yes it's a 6th year election that historically goes against the party in the WH but it didn't have to be this bad. 

      Maybe when I wake up, at least Colorado won't have a conspiracy theory addled moron for a governor? One can hope.

       

      1. A thoughtful analysis BC.  The numbers indicate that Colorado women responded by not voting.  A totally rational response.  Proof again, which we didn't really need, that Republicans respond to fear campaigns and Democrats to positive campaigns.  Udall gave Democrats nothing to vote FOR.  His and the DSCC's campaign tactics reflected a huge misinterpretation of Obama's 2012 victory.
        It looks as though Hick will squeak through.  Righties already blaming Dunafon.  Next will be voter fraud. 

  37. Just watched Corey give his acceptance/(I will serve if drafted to run for president in 16/20) speech.  Threw up a little, just in the back of my throat.

    We lost some good people tonight in Jeffco, Rachel, Jeanne, even Cheri.  The only bright spots seem to be retaining Kerr and defeating Boggs.  Will Ed become the next most targeted seat next go round after these results?

    Even with the school board going batshit crazy, the county elects crazy after crazy.  This explains why no one has started the recall, it does not look good here.

    Anyone know how long the commute from Boulder to Denver takes?  The wife and I have had serious talks about pulling up the stakes and heading somewhere more like minded.

  40. Unofficial CO results from S o S office:

    Hick still in the lead.

    Gardner won through a campaign of unashamed duplicity.

    Coffman, ditto, plus exploiting fear of Ebola. My CD6 relatives say that Coffman has an excellent staff and provided superior constituent services, particularly to veterans.

    Bo Ortiz beat Victor Head by 3 points.

    Max Tyler, Andy Kerr still won in 23 and 22.

    Should anyone apologize to AC? Um, no. His side won by pushing lies, distortions, racist paranoia to the voters. Our side did not do that, and we have nothing to apologize for.

  41. today is a tough day.
    My Mom died today…about an hour before I could get to her. It makes all this election noise seem rather distant to my ears…
    I am sitting in a motel room in southern Texas, going over the results …
    Congratulation to the winners…and to those who supported them. The people of Colorado will regret electing Cory…they were sold a lie…and they bought it…
    Cretins rejoice…one of your own will now be a US senator

    3. My condolences for the loss of your mother.  I don't even want to think about how I will feel when I have to deal with the same in the (hopefully distant) future. 

    4. Duke,

      I'm sorry for your loss and more so that you couldn't reach your mom before she left.  I wish you'd been able to have a morning filed with fist shaking and righteous indignation instead.

    7. So sorry Duke. My brother died unexpectedly late October 2011 and I found it impossible to give a flying F about anything political for months. Didn't even look at ColPols for a good long while.  After having been a very active volunteer  and even very minor party official in my HD I couldn't work up the mental energy to do much of anything in 2012 besides hope, write letters to the editor and vote. Finally was ready to put in some serious volunteering time this election.

      My heart and best wishes go out to you and yours. I'm not going to lie. It's going to be tough for a long time.  Don't rush it and don't worry about schedules for stages of grief or "closure". That's all a load of bull. Be with the ones you love and who loved her and know that it takes as long as it takes but it does get better.

  42. Thank you all for your kind words…this is an ordeal we must all face. Never easy…it must be dealt with. We have no choice.
    My Mom was a devoted Democrat who spread more love around than anyone I have ever known.
    She told me many times that working people should always be Democrats, because Republicans don’t care about anyone but themselves.
    We must not feel defeated…we must not despair…we must never give up.

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