Washington Post blogger Chris Cillizza updates his Senate Line, moves Colorado down to #5 most likely to switch parties. As he explained Friday:
5. Colorado (R): Three factors are responsible for the tightening of this open seat race. First, former Rep. Bob Schaffer (R) has managed to stay out of his own way for the past month. Second, a myriad of outside groups are pounding Rep. Mark Udall (D) on television. And, third, Colorado is a state that still tilts ever so slightly toward Republicans. (Previous ranking: 3)
All we would add is the fact that polling this week moved back into the general trend line we’ve seen most of the year (Udall up by five or so), and that Schaffer “staying out of his own way” is a debatable claim. Schaffer may have stayed out of his own way a little better in the last few weeks–but his family members and foul-mouthed campaign manager have been doing a fine job picking up the slack, with negative press galore.
And to those who agree Udall is getting ‘pounded’ by outside groups on television, we say this: wait until after Labor Day, that shoe is headed for the other foot. And the ads we’ve heard about make the 527 hits on Udall we’re seeing now look like kid stuff.
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I’ve heard about how the Obama campaign is out-organizing McCain on the ground, and I hope that’s so because McCain seems to have the airwaves all to himself.
Not to mention all of McCain’s ClearChannel shills (Caplis, Limbaugh, O’Reilly, Boyles, Rosen, Gunny Bob, etc. etc.) (Grumble.)
I’ve seen both anti and pro Obama ads. I say that because the McCain ads are far more anti Obama than pro McCain. A cheerful pro Obama appears on the Olympics coverage for instance.
I actually think there’s a method here. The Obama campaign is hitting back enough not to get swift boated but letting the McCain campaign be the more negative earlier.
Later on, the negative McCain message will be old and tired. The repetitive unpleasant ads will be like so much background noise. The Obama campaign will be free to attack harder without suffering as much criticism for going negative in the face of the almost exclusively negative McCain campaign. Their attack ads will be fresher when the low info voters finally start paying more attention.
IMHO, you’re right on with your analysis.
…how does McCain doing an attack ad on Obama that you see him at large rallies with chants of OBAMA!!! OBAMA!!!! OBAMA!!! helping McCain? It would almost show that Obama has a great deal of support.
“Is loved by the world. Is this the man you want to be President?”
That’s the angle McCain is taking.
of ALL foreigners and it’s un-American NOT to dislike the French. If “those” people like him there must be something wrong with him. If he were a real American, like Bush, all those effete foreigners would have nothing but contempt for him. And if he knows a good wine when he tastes one he better NEVER let anyone find out. You can have all the old money in the world as long as you have no taste.
They will continue to do everything they can to submarine their own chances. Just wait a week or two and they will once again crash & burn.
Both are working diligently to be a bigger disaster than BWB and I have faith that they will pull it off.
The Schaffer campaign has called in the reinforcements to smear Udall. Unfortunately for them as they spend millions against Udall it won’t move Schaffer’s number up. He’s completely out of touch with the values of Colorado voters not to mention the fact he’s even more of an extremist than Dick Cheney.
Is the band one of Justin’s faves?
An analysis certainly echoed by Senators Strickland and Daschle and Governor Schoettler. Wadhams has lost exactly one big race while Udall’s Manager has never won even one.
Udall’s manager has won elections (tobacco tax for one), and Wadhams has lost more than “exactly one.”
Remember U.S. Senator Terry Considine? Me either.
This effective ad rightly slams Schaffer on gas prices.
We haven’t even begun to see Marianas, water, or his bizarre terrorist-sympathizer voting record.
trip to Iraq. The State Department said he defied a request that private contractors not get entangled financially with local governments. He still has not explained what exactly he was doing in Iraq.
The list is so long it’s easy to miss things.
Remember Bob’s oversight role in the fraudulent scheme that bilked taxpayers of more than $2 million. When it comes down to it, that escapade is Bob’s strongest alternative energy credential. Too bad 527s are going to have to remind voters about it, since Bob keeps forgetting to tout his service on the NAFF board on his resume.
But then again, Schaffer is not under indictment, so I guess the Colorado GOP has that much working for the party.
With the disaster that Schaffer’s campaign has been, even this happening wouldn’t surprise me.
One just never knows who will sing to get a better deal…