President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
June 01, 2015 01:55 PM UTC
43 Comments
He's tanned, he's rested, and he's ready . . .
. . . Beauprez 2016 !!
Possibly, except even Beauprez can't afford to self-fund a Senate campaign, so dipping his toe into the water will likely result in the party sharks biting it off.
Look for Tipton or Buck to make a run for it since their seats are safe for any GOP successor candidate, so they are expendable to the GOP if they don't pull a Con Man Cory and win.
Either Way Ellen
Both Ways is saving himself for the governor's race in 2018. He's trending in the right direction since the margins of his losses are getting smaller.
I think Hick can run one more time, so Beauprez can dream, but still not gonna win 🙂
Hickenlooper is term limited in 2018.
Darn — I thought he could run 3 times. In that case, open seat, non-Presidential year, yup, Both Ways just might try it one last time.
I believe the Republicans will consider Both Ways as too shop worn, or yesterday's news, for another run at governor. They'll be looking for a younger, fresher face with a moderate voice (a conservative in disguise perhaps) that appeals to enough Gen X and Millennials to poll above 50%. An ideal candidate would be a bilingual Latino, preferably a soccer mom.
Lisa Pinto?
Heck, why not … she's been hamming for the cameras lately. Does she speak Spanish?
Bite your tongue! Leave her to Jeffco. Maybe she can be a commissioner.That's pretty much out of sight, out of mind.
ROFLMAO
Poor Zapatero is going to be saddened by this news. It means if someone like Ken Buck or Scott Tipton ends up as the GOP candidate, Bennet should win.
Cynthia Coffman. She can run and hold on to the AG's office while she's doing it.
If she is elected and they both go to DC to serve in Congress, I wonder if they will continue to maintain separate residences in Washington……
Probably by mutual accord.
I think this means both Bennet and Coffman will be staying put.
I'm not counting Tipton out yet, but it certainly means Bennet is a lot safer.
Unfortunately. Why mount a vigorous effort to unseat a Manchurian Candidate who does the bidding of the banks anyway? The Ritter mistake that can’t be corrected.
amen.
Did Ritter ever give a coherent explanation for his selection of Bennet?
The unspoken explanation, as I recall, was that Bennet was a fave of team Obama and there was no love lost between Ritter and Romanoff (an avid HRC supporter so not a team Obama fave) so, whoever, it wasn't going to be him. Bennet also came with his own piles of money and connections for more.
BTW still think you're way over-stating the risk the VA thing represents to Coffman. Most will just think of him as the one making lots of noise about getting this done for vets and will never hear much else. I think it's more a matter of playing it safe.
Keeping his CD6 seat will be pretty easy. Even though he probably had a better chance than anyone of taking Bennet's Senate seat that would still have been harder, tougher odds and the CD6 seat could have been lost without an incumbent, too. Once CD6 goes Dem, demographics will probably keep it that way for a good long time. In a year that will be much tougher for Rs than 2014, they decided to play it safer rather than going big. And I bet everyone in the Colorado GOTP, including Coffman, knows he's a pretty go small kid of guy.
Spot on, BC! This looks a lot more like Coffman for the lock on CD6 and the Rs 4:3 majority in the delegation, rather than Coffman in trouble.
Remember when ColPols was saying Morgan Carroll running was "scaring" Coffman into running for the Senate instead? Because he was so afraid of facing her in CD6? What happened to that theory? Ridiculous.
I think they have a blind spot where CD6 is concerned. Remember how they had Romanoff considerably ahead in the 2014 Big Line? No matter how many of us were telling them that was absurdly over optimistic? Never mind the polls.
Outside of leftie blogs, who's talking, at all, about Coffman being at fault for the VA debacle because of the sub-committee he heads? If most people hear anything it's Coffman fighting for vets. I think ColPols need to get out of their bubble a little more.
Me thinks thou protests too much Tabby. The attack ads are going to write themselves regarding Coffman and his non-leadership on the Veterans Oversight committee. It would have been ramped up if he had run for the Senate. Now he can just sneak back into his "I'm not responsible" hole and be the kind of incompetent government employee that he ostensibly hates.
If you say so. But I just read the Post article on Coffman's decision to stick with the CD run and, while it mentioned his raised national profile as the guy fighting for vets, especially in connection with the Aurora hospital debacle, nowhere did it say a word about anything being his responsibility because of his sub-committee chairmanship.
Yes, Carroll or whoever could mention it in ads but there must be Dems on that committee, too and if they aren't on record fighting Coffman and the Rs tooth and nail to demand answers and action on the fiasco project, it will be pretty easy to neutralize any attempt to make that a central point of any campaign and not sure the party would much cotton to the idea since nobody, including Dems, is exactly covered in glory over the congressional supervision. Everybody can just stick to…. not our fault they didn't give us accurate info. Once it came out, I, superhero Coffman, leaped into action!
Protesting too much? I'm not protesting at all. I just see zero evidence in the media, outside of wishful thinking leftie blogs, for the proposition that the VA hospital is a negative for Coffman. And why would I protest? I can't stand Coffman. Also can't stand rah rah wishful thinking. What I'm fond of is objective reality.
Anybody notice that the VA criticism Pols quotes above was cut out of Bartels' final story?
IMHO Coffman would probably defeat Morgan Carroll in CD-6, even though it's a swing district. Coffman will polish up on his Spanish and move to the left, as he will not face a serious challenger in the primary. Carroll's candidacy would motivate voter turnout among conservatives, especially the NRA folks on the eastern fringe of CD-6.
To be fair, BC, I think they said that was just a possibility. They outlined several different scenarios, including the possibility that Coffman would remain in CD-6 to defend the seat.
Pu-lease. Look through past ColPol diaries. They're full of Coffman running scared because of the hot water he's in about the VA. Running scared and possibly feeling almost forced to switch to a Senate run because of being so terrified of facing Morgan Carroll in his CD. Look back to 2014 and the nonsensical Big Line that, for a time and without any solid basis, had Romanoff at a 60/40 advantage. Boots on the ground volunteers were hopeful in the beginning but never as over the top optimistic as that. The misreading of everything CD6 and everything Coffman has been off the charts. And this is too. Total bull.
Ok, I'm not going to get into a pissing match about this with you, and the Pols can take care of themselves. But I searched for Coffman posts and found this in one of the more recent ones:
I don't see anything Pollyannish about their speculation. You're probably right that they were too optimistic about Romanoff last year, but Romanoff underperformed everyone's expectations. That's his fault not this blog's. They've admitted since then that Romanoff got his ass kicked, which is more than some of his supporters can do.
I do think Morgan worries the GOP if not Coffman personally, and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if NRCC encouraged him to stand and fight.
You can find more if you go back farther but never mind. 60/40 advantage Romanoff was always Pollyannish and I attended enough events to know that his supporters never believed in an advantage close to that strong, that CD6ers were dismayed and nervous from the beginning with Udall's ad campaign and with Romanoff's, started feeling queasy somewhere between the first lets balance the federal budget ad and the lackluster follow ups. By the end we believed the polls, not the ColPols, and weren't exactly confident.
They absolutely did run several pieces crowing about the terror Carroll was striking into R hearts and that, though he didn't want to run for Senate, he might be scared into it rather than facing the dread Carroll. So we'll have to agree to disagree but, as a CD 6 voter and long time volunteer, I'm pretty sure I know WTF I'm talking about better than ColPols does in this district. Proof in the pudding and all that. The idea that Coffman and the Rs are terrified of Carroll is sheer delusion. Clearly they think running against her is a much safer, less terrifying bet.
Boy, I've been getting into a lot of these pissing matches lately. Won't apologize, though. I call 'em like I see 'em and my record ain't half bad. So, for the record, in my opinion it's just a whole lot easier to keep his CD6 seat than to knock off Bennet in a Dem advantage year, the mirror image of 2014 where contested seats are concerned. Simple as that. No breathless theories involving Morgan Carroll terror or, alternately, fear of being blamed for the hospital debacle keeping him from a Senate run required. That's all been a load of breathless bull. That's my take and I'm sticking with it.
For what it's worth:
It was about two years ago to the day that the Post reported then-Congressman Haircut Gardner would not be seeking Mark Udall's Senate seat.
Yeah, but then Buck jumped in and the collective groans from GOP powerbrokers got the Con Man to reconsider…
Oh no doubt there were other considerations… I just don't expect this to be the last word on whether or not Coffman runs, is all.
Littwin's piece in the Indy: GOP needs another Gardner; Coffman wasn’t it
is cogent and insightful re:
* What led Coffman to decide not to run for Senate
* Why the GOP has such a limited bench to challenge Bennet:
Anything by Littwin is cogent and insightful.
I was recently reminded that El Paso County Commissioner Darryl Glenn is already an announced candidate for Senate. Which may make it less likely for either Cadman or Hill to run.
I'd doubt that Scott Tipton will run, given that he's in a safe district. And Ellen Roberts has by and large self-destructed, at least for now.
There's always Dr. Chaps.
Thanks for the reminder about Darryl Glenn. Glenn's issue positions are long on cliches and short on meaningful specifics, as Pols pointed out about Glenn's "Military Policy". At least, now, Glenn is specifically advocating for boots on the ground. A good thing, too, since Fort Carson already sent 4,000 soldiers from his district to Kuwait. The 3rd Brigade combat team soldiers are still there. I guess it's easy to advocate for boots on the ground when that's already happened.
Let's look at another "policy". For example, here is Glenn's "4 point plan to replace the Affordable Care Act"
That's it, buddy. That's all he has.
1.Tort reform? Unlikely to affect health care costs.
2.We can already buy insurance across state lines.
3.Not sure what he means about "universal coverage of catastrophic health events". People would be allowed to buy that catastrophic insurance? I think that those are the crappy policies with high deductibles that the ACA replaced.
4. Most workplaces already have wellness programs that "reward a proactive healthy lifestyle". At least, you can win things like a Fitbit, or a $25 gift certificate, or a dress-down day.
He does not have an active campaign committee now – his last campaign committee, for his county commissioner position, terminated in Dec 2014.
In sum: Glenn is a fresh face in a suit, saying nice things conservative voters want to hear. Will that be enough for a serious challenge to Michael Bennet? Probably not.
I forgot about FEC filings, since Glenn is seeking Federal office. Here's his take as of March this year: about 26K total, loaned 13K, spent 17K, had about 9K to start off 3rd quarter. Not bad for an "unknown", I guess.