U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
See Full Big Line
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
February 01, 2016 02:49 PM UTC
70 Comments
UPDATE: Check these links for the latest results (h/t to longtime Polster “
Results will trickle in soon afterward? I wouldn't count on results for at least an hour.
Caucus goers get candidate presentations, then straw polls, then preference polls, then delegation selection. Democrats have the additional fun of going through a "re-adjustment" cycle if the preference polls show one candidate without the required 15% minimum.
Note the verb, "trickle." 🙂
Bernie drinking the Establishment's milk shake.
What’s all this fuss I hear about the Iowa carcasses?! If Iowa has a health hazard like this going on, they should clean it up themselves, not ask all these politicians to come. They’ll probably just make it worse!!! Why, they–what?
Oh. Never mind.
That brings back memories. I remember Gilda Radner doing her Emily Latella routine on Weekend Update in 1976 going off about the upcoming presidential erection and asking the question: why do we need a presidential erection?
First Dem results: 4% in, Clinton 53%, Sanders 46%.
Dems up to 12% in, no change in percentages.
GOP at 3% in, Cruz 32%, Trump 31%, Rubio 14.6%, Carson 9%, Paul 4%, everyone else at less than 2.5…
Iowa Republican Party Caucus Results
Iowa Democratic Party Caucus Results
These are the official party caucus live results trackers.
Thanks PR. These are great!
Funny thing just happened. I hit the R caucus link again and it was no longer available. Dem still working. Wait. Got R back. Cruz maintaining 1 point lead at 7% in. Looks like the Donald’s voters are doing a better job of showing up than many thought they would. I know I’m a little surprised. I was thinking they might be great for fun rallies but not so much for caucus.
They're both the same tech – both hosted by Microsoft on their Azure cloud. Apparently, the GOP one has more work to do, so it goes blank occasionally.
I clicked on the Dem site and it had a nice color-coded map and percentages.
I clicked on the GOP site and it said that the server was unavailable. Are they having a meltdown over there?
Try again. I got that for a couple of minutes but it's fine now.
They're obviously not coming from Dust Puppy
I’d like to refer to plural caucus as cockeye
Aren't the caucuses between Iran and the Russian Federation?
Jim Gilmore finally has two caucus-goer votes. "Other" is up to 14, and 185 Iowa Republicans want Santorum.
and 185 Iowa Republicans want Santorum.
But they can't explain why. Inertia?
Gilmore!!!!!!
You need to update your information. There's been a 50% increase in Gilmore's total!
Meanwhile JEB! has a lock on 6th place.
Anybody else here old enough to remember when Jeb’s daddy beat the Gipper in Iowa in 1980, came out of the state spewing some non-sense about having Big Mo, being humiliated by Reagan in the Nashua debate and then losing New Hampshire?
You mean sixth place – Cruz, Trump, Rubio, Carson, Paul, then JEB!. [edit: and, you fixed it…]
At this rate I'll never be able to keep up with Gilmore's fan base. He’s up to 4 votes now, a real trend…
Does Gilmore have family in Iowa?
If he does, it's spread out.
OK, so you are the Des Moines Register and you know your site is going to get slammed.
Wouldn't you call Akami and buy more service for a few days?
Either they are cheap bastards or incompetent. A or B.
Where is Moderatus when we need him to explain what is going on inside his party. Looks like his personal pick, the Establishment Candidate, Rubio, will be hobbling out of Iowa with a third place finish and one out of five caucus-goers. Meanwhile, the two nut jobs are pulling in between the two of them combined 55% and 60%.
I spoke too soon. Looks like Rubio just might finish in second place. That will make You-Know-Who really pissy……
So, Bernie's been narrowing the gap by drips and drabs. Do the streams cross tonight or will Hillary find the political Tums to extinguish the Bern?
Wish I knew more about Iowa's counties. It's easier projecting for Colorado when all the votes aren't in yet knowing more about the various counties. And I can’t get the Rs again right now. Haven’t had trouble once with the D link.Just got the Register, though. Cruz lead growing, Rubio strong third. Establishment must like that.
Story and Johnson are the big college town counties (the few counties in the middle of the map, and the chunk on the right). Those are the main ones I'm familiar with and they're expected to be strong for Bernie.
Polk (just below Story), Linn (above Johnson), and Scott (far right side) are the biggest, population-wise.
My almost-useless knowledge seems to indicate to me that it's still in play.
If big college towns are out it sure is. Just looked at the Register and it's a shade under a point between.
Ahhhhhhhh. Down to .7% between Clinton and Sanders. And, apparently, Clinton's camp is declaring victory.
Not for nothing, but that’s what people hate about her.
Sanders is one O'Malley behind
Yes. That was weird. All the MSNBC talking heads are now talking about what a strange mistake HRC's non-victory victory speech was. Didn't declare victory exactly but declared "relief", certainly implying victory. At this point the margin is so small she can’t do much better than go half and half on delegates with Bernie.
For Bernie, even if he winds up a few tenths of a point behind HRC, it's a victory. Even better if he winds up a tenth or two of a point ahead. Then he gets to go to NH for a real victory.
For HRC if she winds up with even a few tenths of a point less than Bernie it will be a huge embarrassment after that kinda declaring victory speech. That will be the story. Heck, It already is. At least on MSNBC, where the theme for the night seems to be….. Hey Hillary, WTF? What was team HRC thinking?
In the long run it’s not even close to a make or break thing but it’s an odd misstep. She’s made this Bernie’s night no matter how it turns out.
And about that O'Malley vote. Now 97% is in, Bernie is only about 2 tenths of a point down and O'Malley accounts for .6 to be released.
Not bad. You forgot Black Hawk, which is where University of Northern Iowa is (Cedar Falls) – along with Waterloo, which is a fairly large city – for Iowa anyway.
O'Malley's expected to suspend his campaign soon and to release his delegates. An informal poll by the MSNBC crew in one of the college towns (Cedar Rapids?) indicated that most of O'Malley's peeps will break for Bernie.
With 81% in Rubuio is almost caught up to Trump. Closer than Trump is to Cruz. Maybe the GOP establishment finally has one candidate to unite behind?
Cruz, then Trump™, and Rubio a close third, Ms. NBC says.
Chucklebee out. Who had him next?
My $$$ was on JEB! being next one out.
I thought Pataki would be next out, but hedged my bets with Huckabee. Is Pataki even still running?
I think that this diary was the latest version of "who's climbing out of the clown car next".
Pataki baled out a couple of weeks ago. Forgive yourself for missing it. Nobody else noticed……..
WOOHOO! I win!
Wait, scratch that. Pataki dropped out a week later and we didn’t get a new thread.
Santorum is reassessing. He'll probably be out by tomorrow.
I thought Huck would stay in through South Carolina at least, just because he's better known down South.
Santorum should bow out now, though. Iowa gave him love at one time, and now they've given him an effective last place (well, except for Gilmore and Other).
The N.Y. Times has front page story which uses the words "humbling" and "Trump" in the same headline. You don't see that often. Has he spoken yet?
"Now we know how monumentally stupid the people of Iowa really are!!!"
(Or something equally as gracious …)
In fairness, he could have simply stood up and said, "Huckabee, Santorum, and now Cruz" and dropped the mike and walked off stage.
so true……
Trump's speaking. His makeup person has some 'splainin' to do. If Trump ever listened to a woman, she would tell him not to circle his eyeballs with white concealer. It makes him look like a sunburned raccoon.
Trump really didn’t have much to say. He conceded nothing. He loves his family. He loves the people of Iowa (never mind that he asked “How stupid are the people of Iowa?” a couple of days ago.
Trump made that comment several weeks ago and the context of the comment was (when Carson was leading) for believing Carson's story on stabbing a man.
And his numbers went up so…..
I thought Trump looked like he'd been skiing with goggles. We see that look all the time around here, so it didn't even register for me as a bad makeup job.
So, 90% reporting (looking at NYTimes):
Clinton: 632 — 49.8%
Sanders: 628 — 49.5%
Free Martin: 7 — .6%
How will Martin's folks fall, do we think?
O'Malley's peeps will break for Bernie, if the MSNBC informal poll of OM's delegates shows a trend. O' Malley is above all a renewable energy candidate, and Sanders is much better than Hils on not pandering to Fossilonians.
A win in Iowa for Sanders.
A pyrrhic tie for Clinton.
When a guy most Iowans and Americans hadn't even heard of six months ago and who was down 53 points in the polls battles to a draw with someone of Hillary's stature — it is a win for the Sanders.
Clinton is a terribly flawed candidate and likely a loser to a Trump or Rubio. Democrats need to get over this 'first woman president' thing and get serious about who connects with average working Americans … or they are going to hand the White House over to the Republicans in January 2017.
Clinton would get a boost from a Sanders drop-out just as Sanders will get a boost from a Clinton withdraw. And the GOP candidates will all get boosts as well when their opponents drop out.
Right now I think it's important to note that the Democratic candidates are both (depending on polls) beating the Republicans on average. Some polls have Sanders losing to a few Republicans, some of Clinton losing a contest or two. Overall, though, Democrats look to come out on top. Maybe that will change if Sanders is nominated; there is still definitely a fear that someone as liberal as he is could be another McGovern. Or maybe Republican loudmouths have spent so much time calling Obama a Socialist in the past 8 years that the term has lost its pejorative overtones.
Right – if a socialist Kenyan Muslim can bring unemployment down to 5.6% from 9.8%, shrunk the deficit by 1 trillion dollars, added 7 million jobs, increased business startups by 20%, corporate profits by 182%, then maybe we should elect another one for more economic good times.
I don't know of any other socialist Kenyan Muslims available for the office right now. I suppose we could drive the wingers crazy by proposing a repeal of the 22nd Amendment…
In fairness, a not insignificant portion of the right think that's already the plan.
Actually, I think the current theory is that he'll declare Martial Law and then declare himself Emperor. I think they caught on to the procedural difficulties of repealing the 22nd Amendment the Constitutional way.
Damn – outdated again. The current plot, as exposed by Michelle Bachmann, is that Obama will take over as Secretary-General of the United Nations and declare himself King of the World and Antichrist. It's hard to keep up with the plan – I'm obviously not on Obama's happy list.
And of course the socialist Kenyan Muslim was always imaginary. The real candidate was a centrist, exotic only because he had one black parent. Now a secular Jew from Brooklyn? That would be pretty damned exotic in US presidential terms.
Cory Gardner is endorsing Rubio on MSNBC now.
Bummed that Hillary literally won with a coin toss (3 coin tosses for delegates went her way), but still, it's a real victory for Bernie Sanders. After he wins in New Hampshire and a few more, perhaps Pols will see fit to include him on the Big Line ahead of Cruz and Rubio.
Meanwhile, this is good for a chuckle:
Cory Gardner is the personification of vapid and unctuous opportunism which masquerades itself as political leadership these days: smile, follow the crowd, and most importantly, have good hair.
Hit your marks and don't let the folks see the pull string coming out of your back.
Rubio and Gardner could make a great buddy movie together. It would be titled "The Billionaires' Handmaidens"
Would it have a yacht chase scene? Jonathan Lockwood could have a saunter-on role.
Is that Lockwood in the pink pants? Someone should send that photo to the family values folk……
Cory is doing what needs to be done to become Rubio's VP.