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February 05, 2016 01:33 PM UTC

Poll: Who Will Win Colorado's Democratic Caucuses?

  • 65 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols
Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton.
Bernie Sanders, Hillary Clinton.

FOX 31:

[F]ormer Secretary of State Hillary Clinton barely defeated Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders [in Iowa], suggesting Sanders will be competitive for the foreseeable future…

For Colorado Republicans and Democrats, the results most likely mean a greater spotlight will be put on the state by the national parties.

“I think it’s going to put a huge spotlight on Colorado,” said State Rep. Joe Salazar, a Democrat who has yet to endorse a candidate.

Salazar said it’s clear the “Clinton coronation” isn’t occurring and that he hopes neither candidate “takes Colorado for granted.”

We certainly aren’t taking you for granted, and here’s your chance to give us an unscientific pre-New Hampshire snapshot of where Coloradans are in advance of the March 1st Colorado Democratic presidential precinct caucuses. Vote after the jump: as always, remember that we want to know who you really think will win, not your personal preference.

Who will win the 2016 Colorado Democratic Caucus?
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65 thoughts on “Poll: Who Will Win Colorado’s Democratic Caucuses?”

  1. A: Bernie.

    Hey Jason or Alva, can you tell me if this is smart politics or dumb politics?

    McCaskill has been red-baiting Sanders with McCarthyist tactics. This shows you what kind of a “Democrat” she is.  

    “Campaign operatives of hers, and some surrogates, continue to promote the attitude that we should be dismissive. That it can’t be done. That he’s not qualified,” said Rep. Raúl Grijalva, who has endorsed Sanders.

    He said McCaskill’s approach “evokes the ghost of [former Wisconsin Sen. Joseph] McCarthy.”

    “It’s red-baiting and you’ll probably see more of that unfortunately, but I don’t think it’s going to stick.”

    Few things piss me off more than red-baiting. After Hillary saying over and over that she and Bernie agree on goals, but differ on the road to get there, red-baiting Bernie may blow back on her because it makes her a “fellow traveller,” to use a term Joe McCarthy and Nixon used back in the 50s.    

    Your time and political wisdom are appreciated!

      2. Yep. Lived in KCMo 20 yrs, Columbia briefly. KC is fun. Columbia is a college town , not unlike Lawrence, Bloomington. Springfield is the buckle of the Bible belt, a little scary

        1. I built a shoe store at the Battlefield Mall in Springfield a few years ago…you are completely right about the place. It reminded me of east-central Kentucky, my ancestral home. But, I did meet some nice people.

    1. Actually there was virtually no Clinton presence in CO in 2008.

      Andrew Romanoff did manage to get the "Big Dog" to make a last minute drop in a few days before the caucuses. It did not good; Obama still won 68% to 32%.

      On a personal note, I got calls and visits from the very enthusiastic Obama supporters in my precinct. On caucus night, their work payed off. We had 83 people in my precinct:  64 for Obama and 19 for HRC.

       

      1. Yep.  We had 56 caucus attendees in 2008 — 2/3 for Obama.  The previous record caucus attendance for my precinct was 3 (and it didn't include me).

          1. What, recently or back when Irv ran? I haven't heard a peep about anyone running this time around, and I don't think the D-trip would even bat an eyelash our way now. 

            Regardless, they wouldn't use the money for CO-05. It'll go towards seats they lost in 2014. 

      2. There was in my HD. I was an HD officer and when I arrived at our site to set up HRC supporters were there at the doors demanding to come in with me and my fellow officials and volunteers, calling themselves precinct captains with lit they were going to distribute to each precinct's table. Of course they were campaign "precinct captains", not Dem party officials. I had to explain to them rather forcefully that Dem party officers and precinct captains were running the show which was not open yet and they couldn't come in until we were finished setting up and open to caucus attendees which was all they were. But we're precinct captains, they whined. Not in my HD you're not, I had to tell them. They were a real pain in the ass. 

      3. Clinton had a pretty sizable campaign in Colorado for a few months before the caucuses. Like most Presidential campaigns of this size, once the caucus was over, they packed up and moved resources to the next batch of states.

      1. No surprise there. He was also Colorado DLC Chair and you can't get much more center right than that but suddenly, when he was challenging Bennet just a couple of years later, he was selling himself as God's gift to progressives, their champion, and the progressive base bought it. Don't know how he managed it. Maybe some "These are not the droids you're looking for" Jedi mind trick? Then on his next try, running against Coffman without a fellow centrist to try to get to the left of, the progressive schtick went out the window with his first campaign ad. I hope he's recovered from the whiplash and pretty sure he's still a Clinton man.

  4. The caucus in Colorado often goes to left most candidate because the caucus belongs to the base. I'm sure my HD chair and most PCPs (precinct committee persons) in my HD are pulling for Bernie and the people who volunteer for them and come to the HD meetings are mainly like minded. Those are the kind of people who show up most at caucus.  

    I think Bernie wins caucus here but long before the end of the primaries all over the country it will be clear that HRC is going to win the nomination. Bernie's no Nader and at that point I think he'll push his supporters to get behind HRC against the GOP opponent. She'll need his youth support and she'll have to rely on him to get that demo excited and turned out for her in the general. Also a VP, not Bernie, who is younger for sure and Hispanic would be great.

    1. I find huge support for Sanders among my Democratic buddies including my wife.  I think he has a realistic chance to win in Colorado.  I'm going to caucus for Mrs. Clinton because I like her experience running a large federal department while Secretary of Sate and the way that she helped with the transition in Iraq and the development of the Iran Nuclear Pact.  I'm OK with Senator Sanders being the nominee but I don't think we are the edge of a movement change in politics like 2010 with the Tea Party Rebellion.  My preferred course of action is to preserve the Democratic agenda and keep a Republican from appointing Scalia and Thomas clones to the Supreme Court. Plus it would be pretty cool to have a woman president for the first in the history of our country in our lifetimes.

      1. I'm with you, GG, for the same reasons. But I fear the caucuses will go for Bernie because he's the shiny new object promising a perfect world that he has virtually no chance of delivering. Most of the Dem activists I know support him, but most Democrats don't go to the caucuses. Hillary wins a Dem primary in Colorado; Bernie I think will win our outdated caucuses.

         

         

        1. No need to fear. The caucuses are a pretty small part of the whole show. Base darlings tend to win caucus. 

          Remember Mike Miles?  Probably not. Just as an example he was the liberal base darling running for Senate who won caucus while Ken Salazar went on to win the primary and the general election. Salazar was way more conservative than most of us would have liked but he also was a winner with across the board appeal where Mike Miles wouldn't have had a snowball's chance in hell. 

          Iowa and NH are big deals because they're the first, they shake out some of the no hopers and give people momentum or take it away. Later caucuses like ours are much less of a big deal in the big picture. Primaries are and primary voters are a whole different kettle of fish than hard core caucus attendees.

    2. I'm old enough to remember Gene Nichols, Mike Feeley, Gil Romero, and Mike Miles all defeating the establishment DINOs at the caucus-convention stage only to lose the primaries to Tom Strickland, Gail Schoettler, Dottie Lamm (yes, Dottie was the moderate in '98) and Ken Salazar.

      Hell, two of those four left winger, I’m proud to say I supported at the state assembly.

  5. With Clinton in the White House and Sanders a new "Progressive Lion" in the Senate shoulder to shoulder with the Progressive Lioness (Warren) and with a few other new progressives in the Senate (Russ Feingold), Sanders will have accomplished his mission, and the Democratic wing of the Democratic party will have a solid bloc to influence policy and work with a Dem pres. 

      1. True, but what's new is he has 2.5 million contributors who have given him $40-$50 million and he fought HRC to a draw in Iowa and will probably go pretty long into this campaign, and should he lose, will still have that experience and following to bring with him to the Senate – his stature will have grown exponentially and he holds the keys to the future for the Dem party, ie, young voters. 

        It's a win-win for progressives. 

          1. Let's hope Senate. If we're going to take it back we can't afford to be tapping Dem Senators for cabinet posts except where there's a guarantee they'll be replaced by one who will stick past the next election.

  6. In an article discussing sub-$2 gas prices, medical inflation at the lowest rate in 50 years, unemployment at 4.9% (the economic miracles promised by every GOP candidate for the last 3 election cycles if we just gave the 1% another tax break), today's GOP has apparently suffered a collective mind wipe as to how (and who) actually helped bring this reality about.

    Today's GOP in a nutshell:

    Sure, hypocrisy is the coin of the realm in politics, and both sides play that game. But Republicans have taken the false indignation of double standards to a level rarely before seen in our political discourse. Obama's deft handling of domestic and global affairs has sent the GOP into a paroxysm of childish pique and impish rants of outrage. The freak show we call the Republican primary is the inevitable and natural decline of reason as the GOP embraces ever more radical thought untethered by an objective reality. In this twisted world of hate, low gas prices and a strong stock market are not real, but the threat of Obama taking your guns is; climate change is a liberal hoax, but Planned Parenthood is selling body parts; sons of immigrants become anti-immigration; Obama is a foreign-born radical Christian, but also a Muslim, who hates America. Fantasy becomes dogma, faith trumps fact, and reality is optional. As a consequence of this Dantean descent into the tragicomedy of conservative hell, we have Trump, Cruz and Rubio. The right wing has become a nightmarish olio of xenophobia, misogyny and religious extremism growing on the foundation of anti-intellectualism and a disdain for science. The GOP has become a Party of medieval doctrine, with a platform designed to take us back to the Dark Ages. Once the hard facts of an objective reality are rejected as inconveniences, anything is possible, as is evident with every GOP presidential debate.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/jeff-schweitzer/fuel-prices-faulty-logic_b_9169892.html?utm_hp_ref=politics

    1. Just heard unemployment is down below even what the Rs dared to promise. Yet we keep hearing how Obama has destroyed the country, our economy, you name it. Utter nonsense in the face of all objective measures. The good news is both HRC and Bernie are embracing Obama's acomplishmens instead of treating him like nuclear waste as most Dem candidates did in 2014 so, hopefully, the electorate will be hearing a lot about this from Dems this time around.

    1. That's about enough, pinhead. This is about who we think will win caucus regardless of who we prefer. It isn't a preference poll. I'll put my record against yours any day in predicting what will happen versus what we might want to happen, Mr. Romney In A Landslide and Lamest Troll Ever.

    3. Moddy, despite the state of panic/fear that Randall, Rush, Levin, Savage, Boyles, Backbone, O'Reilly and Hannity have you in, CPols ownership is firmly Status Quo/ConservaDem/Unreformed Blue Dogs who are super-satisfied this is a purple state. And, it seems, they want it to stay that way.

      When your guys call us "far leftists" they are jerking your easily jerked chain. Really should go read a book or something………..

      1. I have a feeling Moldy gets easily jerked off by the authoritarian Fascists in his party.  He absolutely swoons over the idea of big government controlling women's lives and being a manservant to the upper class.

  8. Who cares?
    I registered as a member of the GOP: Party of Hate® to fuck with their process.
    Bernie/Hillary makes no difference to me.
    Our goal should be to prevent the douchiest GOP US Senate candidate from becoming Senator. I hope you all remember Smiling Cory.

    1. "smiling Cory?"  Just for the record, earlier this week, Mike Lee (R-UT) tried to get an amendment, on a bill, to gut the Antiquities Act, used by most presidents since TR to designate national monuments. Even G.W. Bush used the Act. Would have required approval by Congress and the state's legislature before designation. Kudos to "smiling Cory" for voting NO. 

      1. davebarnes: I think you could have safely stayed with the Dems this time around. Thanks to the "incredible wisdom" of our R party leadership, we won't have a presidential preference vote at our caucuses this year. 

        2. I dunno CB.  Seems like a punt to me or a Pontius Pilate move.  "Us take a vote when the race is still up in the air?  No way.  We're waiting until June when it will be meaningless.  That's leadership from the behind."

  9. As mentioned above, I've been reached out to by the Sanders campaign several times, and Clinton's not at all. Clearly Bernie's people have been planning on working hard in later states much longer than Hillary's. 

    I expect Bernie will do well here. Disclosure: I've come to the conclusion I'll be caucusing for him. I can't pass up the opportunity to support a candidate that voted against the Iraq war; I never imagined having a chance to do that.

    2. You assume that these establishment Democratic women who fought for reproductive rights, civil rights and equal pay are passive about supporting Mrs. Clinton and aren't going to show up on caucus night.  Over confidence is one of the fatal flaws of underdogs who subsequently end up getting their asses kicked when it gets down to crunch time.  Smirk at your own risk.

  10. I know who's not going to win without me having at least caucused for the other side.

    From my understanding, Bernie caucus training has been going on for several months. Maybe not everywhere, but in quite a number of locales.

    Bernie events. Just add zip code. All revealed.

    1. Thanks, Canines. I was contacted to caucus for Bernie, and agreed to, but in my little corner of beet-red Morgan County, Dems are apparently hiding out in protective coloration. Or they're just not media savvy, or ???

      Anyway, there are two caucus training events in Greeley this weekend, which I've already missed.

       

        1. Nice thing about caucus is you get to meet near neighbor Dems and learn of all the ways you can become active and make connections in your local Dem party and community.

          1. Yep…I have been a precinct captain ( now a "precinct committee person") many times. I enjoy the process, and intend to be a delegate to the state convention, if my fellow Dems will honor me with the task.

            If there are any readers who are not planning on attending our caucuses, please reconsider. They are the foundation of the party process…and, as BC points out, it is a great way to get to know your fellow Democrats and actually can be fun… 

            1. The way we Arapahoe County Dems have done it over the last dozen or so years that I've been participating is that each precinct can have two PCPs (precinct committee persons). Some time back they were called precinct captains. These are "elected" at caucus and don't carry over from one caucus to the next. I put it in quotes because so few people want to do it, getting elected mainly consists of being the one who says "OK. I'll do it". We still do (as far as I know. Haven't been very active these past couple of years) also have Precinct Captains who are just PCP's who agree to supervise a goup of precincts and who also end up picking up the slack  for precincts that couldn't field two or even one PCP.

              So if anyone is interested in becoming a PCP, helping to organize the Dems in your precinct, support your candidates at every level, work GOTV and get a log in to VAN for your precinct that gives you access to all the voter info on all of your neighbors, go to caucus and you can probably get elected pretty much by popular acclamation. 

              As we get into the spring and summer you'll have lots of opportunity to meet candidates who will come and speak at your HD meetings and at meet and greet fund raising coffees and yard parties. Colorado not being a huge population state, it's very easy for even lowly PCPs to have chances to talk to everyone right up to our Senators and Governor at political events.

              I skipped it last time because nothing much was up for grabs and I got lazy but I'll be attending this time. Also delgates are elected to go on to CD, SD, then state and ultimately national assembly/conventions. It's easy to get elected all the way through state but much tougher to get to go to the national to be a delegate for a presidential candidate. But you have to start at go which is caucus.

              So to all who want to really get involved to support their chosen candidates, beyond volunteering here and there for campaigns you need to go to caucus as the first step.  With all the like minded people you'll meet you might even make a forever friend or two. So let's all of us registered Dems put our money where our big mouths are and caucus!

    1. I guess I'll just have to Bern in hell, then….devil

      Seriously, I've marched and written and boycotted and protested and donated and advocated for women since I was 15 years old. I should get a special dispensation from Saint Madeleine.

      And for the umpteenth time, if Hillary is the nominee, I will happily vote for her, and work for Dems up and down the ticket, as I have for the past few election cycles.

    2. And Gloria Steinem says young women who support Bernie instead do so because the boys do. I think there's a special place in hell for smug bitches who insult an entire gender's intelligence and order them to vote based on who has what body parts. So did they both vote for McCain because he had a running mate with a vagina?  Hmmm..?

    3. Sanders Condemns ‘Bernie Bros’

      “I have heard about it. It's disgusting,” Sanders said. “Look, we don't want that crap. … We will do everything we can and I think we have tried. Look, anybody who is supporting me that is doing the sexist things is — we don't want them. I don't want them. That is not what this campaign is about.”

        1. Telling women to support HRC or else they belong in hell or that the only reason young women support Bernie is because the boys do is offensive. Nothing to do with political correctness. Was she channeling Trump? 

          I'm going to vote for HRC after she wins the nomination but she says things that remind me why I never liked her and still don't, why I never supported her in 2008 on a weekly, sometimes closer to daily, basis.

  12. I think barring any big events from either side, Colorado will be feeling the Bern come March. The Republic of Boulder alone should be enough to throw it in his column. Real question is can he win any of the big states or make inroads into the more conservative ones. 

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