U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
April 05, 2016 03:26 PM UTC
37 Comments
Is Gardner going to jump ship and become a Dem? He started out as one after all.
I would not hold it against him if he played the, "I didn't leave the party, the party left me card."
Regardless of who "wins" the GOP nomination, I think there will be a lot of Republican voters sitting this one out. It might take a long while before the party recovers, if ever.
Gardner is like a cockroach, he'll survive the GOP nuclear meltdown. There will always be a billionaire somewhere for him to suck up to.
Davie you really ought remove those 2 prepositions from the end of your last sentence.
Just trying to help
Snerk.
There will always be a billionaire somewhere to whom he may suck up?
He may suck (on implied, if you see what Gray means.) Which is why snerk. Juvenile on both our parts, prolly.
Gardner's blinding white smile will neutralize the GOP's nuclear core meltdown.
Then watch Perlmutter primary him into oblivion.
I haven't heard that Perlmutter is considering the Senate.
I thought he was running for governor.
Not Ken Salazar?
Still awaiting orders from Chuck and Dave …
Sounds like a standard keeping options open response. Any candidate will have to earn his vote yadaydayada. He's probably right that it won't be Trump and he'll no doubt support whoever the R nominee is. He doesn't have to run for anything any time soon so he doesn't have to worry about his purple state constituents this time around.
Moddy was PO'd last week at the thought that Gardner might receive a courtesy visit from Merrick Garland. Imagine how he will react to this!
Gardner may be holding out for the return of his favorite, Tiny Shiny Boots, as a compromise candidate in Cleveland.
Don't know about holding out so much as just waiting to see who the winner is going to be before jumping on the band wagon. The guy's not exactly a profile in political courage.
Tea leaves starting to chafe around the ol' strap? With the possibility of Dems taking the Senate and the House, seems someone is feeling the urge to fit in. Too late. Enough pics and sound bites are out to leave Cory sitting in the horse trough with horse butt.
I wonder if he will vote to confirm Justice Warren after downballot gets Drumpfed on?
Enough pics and sound bites are out to leave Cory sitting in the horse trough with horse butt. –
Please leave Bob Beauprez out of this, Pam.
T-Rump is going to buy his nomination. MSNBC suggests T-Rump may end up with 1,212 delegates, short of the needed 1,237. Call it 100 delegates short @ $500,000 = $50 million — make it $100 million. What possible legal consequence is there to a delegate that sells his/her vote at the RNC, a private gathering?
They do subscribe to the magic of the free market…….
If he does, you can be sure it will be with OPM …
… that, or cabinet positions.
Or, just cold green cash. Be sure to declare the income and everything is nice and legal.
Has everyone forgotten Rod Blagojevich?
If anyone can find a way to turn this situation into cash or influence (or both), it will be our very own, ConmanCory.
From 538's delegate tracker: Sanders and Clinton were 240 pledged delegates apart before tonight's Sanders win. Now they're 210 delegates apart. 538 doesn't count the supers because the super's votes can change. 538 will update in a few hours.
Sanders won 48 delegates with his 56% win to Clinton's 38 delegates with 43%.
He now has 1090 delegates to Clinton's 1300 delegates. 210 votes apart.
Both candidates are staying classy. Sanders' victory speech. Clinton's gracious concession tweet. Clinton also tweeted in Spanish: "Trump's plan to make Mexico pay for his "wall" [by cutting off payments to families from US workers ] is ridiculous, offensive, and punishes families. It's wrong."
So I give her props for that. My Mexican immigrant kiddos are genuinely worried about a Trump win. "Miss, what will we do if Trump takes Colorado?," they wanted to know.
I reassured them that although he will probably win the Republican nomination, he cannot win the general election to become President.
That is what's at stake.
So, while I too am way too classy to put out a big victory dance gif, I am just crass enough to put out a small one:
Feel the Bern, people!
Fuzzy nmath alert! This post says bernie picked up a net 10 delegates in wisconsin, which seems right. It also says the victory trimmed Hillary's lead in pledged delegates from 240 to 210 — which would mean a net gain of 30 by Bernie.
Which is it?
Well RCP has these delegate numbers for delegates at 94% in. 45 to 31.
Sanders 524,74856.3 45
Clinton 404,69343.4 31.
On MSNBC the difference was 9. Think we’d all better wait until tomorrow when the math might be less fuzzy. In any case, nice story for Bernie. Not much in in terms of real gain. Hope kindled for Never Trumpsters.
V, I don't really do the "net gain" thing – that's your department. By 538's math, which I do trust, since Nate Silver has tended to be right much more than he's been wrong, Sanders was at 92% of his target delegates before Wisconsin. Clinton was at 107% of her target delegates before Wisconsin.
In hard numbers of pledged delegates, Sanders had 1042 to Clinton's 1262 pledged delegates before Wisconsin. So they were 220 apart. (not 240 as I posted above
– I have to use a calculator this time of night, not try to do mental math.).
Now, with the Wisconsin win, 95% of the returns counted, Bernie gets 56% of Wisconsin's 86 delegates. That would be 48 delegates. Hillary gets 43% of 86 delegates, which would be 36 or 37 delegates, depending how it's rounded.
So final totals, 1042 +48 = 1090 Sanders, 1262 +37 = 1299. 1299-1090 = 209 or 210, again depending on rounding and that final 5% of returns to be counted.
So I guess you could say that Sanders picked up a net 10 delegates. The gap is closing. I prefer to just stick with the hard numbers, rather than spin it as "Oh, Sanders only picked up 10 delegates, big deal," but I do understand why you would want to see it that way.
V's fuzzy math comment didn't say anything about the gain not being a big deal. I did.
Your numbers work with the net ten. But the gap isn't really closing if you use the percentages Silver gives. Simply put, you need 21 more victories like tonight to close the gap. And there aren't that many races left. More important, Bernie is almost out of nearly all white caucus states, with hust Wyoming and South Dakota left in that category. Now we are back to the Demographics where Hillary has consistently beaten him, like New York, Maryland Pennsylvania, Conn, New Jersey, and ultra complex California, which awards between 4 and 9 delegates in each of its 53 house districts.
But relax, do your jig, and enjoy a couple weeks off before we see if that famous New York Fire Department can put out the Bern
. Congratulationsbon a good night.
.
Here's some more math from Wisconsin.
http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2016/primaries/2016-04-05
It's a percentage problem for Sanders. He needs to be getting above 60% in each state to pick up enough delegates to close the gap.
Is PeeWee Herman ever going to deliver on his long-promised Benghazi indictment?
Tom Delay said some months back that he heard from someone who heard from someone in FBI that an indictment was imminent.
And HRC only needs about a third. Unlike Wisconsin most of the remaining contests are not open, the ones that Bernie does best in and also the hardest to poll. They are mostly closed.
V., the answer to your question is "yes."
The Sanders campaign has long struggled with math whether it was with delegate counts or how tax revenues from raising taxes on those Wall St. crooks would be enough to cover the costs of all the free stuff w/out raising taxes on the middle class. (By the way, if the Wall St. crooks are all jailed, they won't be paying much in taxes.)
Questions of minutiae…
… all nmath is fuzzy in equations involving hidden [superdelegate] variables.
But, it helps keep the crowds distracted with their games and guessing …
There is really only one important question, Dio…
who will President Sanders pick to be his Secretary of State?…Someone with experience, maybe…? hmmm…