President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
November 02, 2016 07:23 AM UTC
28 Comments
The worm has turned, aka the Comey effect:
Colorado ballots returned by party Tuesday, November 1, 2016 R+3,283
Colorado ballots returned by party Wednesday, November 2, 2016 R+4,408
The worm does not turn. Democratic ballots still up by 28k. Polls show Clinton with more support among Dems than Trump has with Repubs and she wins independents. If Trump has to win Colo. he is going to lose.
Pfft! Facts. The amoral snake-in-the-grass POS liar has no use for your silly little "facts"! There are distortions to be spread! Winners to demoralize! Truths to be twisted into perverse pretzels of illusion! Character to assassinate! Baseless charges, scurrilous innuendo and hate-filled rumors to disseminate! Fear to be capitalized upon! Voters to be disenfranchised! Racism, misogyny, homophobia, Islamophobia and bigotry to which to appeal!
"Facts." Is that really all you have?
Drumpf is going to have to take Florida, two time zones east of us, before he worries his pretty little head about the Centennial State. Given that 28% of Florida Republicans are crossing over and voting for the sane candidate this election will be over before it breaches the Continental Divide.
Florida is wonderful news, extrapolating into a 48 40 win for the candidate who doesn't grab women's pussies. With 3.7 million votes already in the screaming yam needs to win by 15 points in final days. The fat lady is starting to sing–and she is Miss Universe!.
Hey Michael, I keep seeing this Florida news posted in places, but nobody seems to have a link. Do you have a link somewhere you could share?
From the equine's oral cavity…
TargetSmart/William & Mary survey featured on MSNBC
Dimocrats still up. By 23K
http://www.denverpost.com/2016/10/24/colorado-2016-ballot-tracker-a-look-at-mail-ballot-return-data/
and https://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/ACE/2016GeneralVoterTurnout/atlas.html?indicator=i1&indicator2=i4
and http://magellanstrategies.com/colorado-2016-ballots-returned-reports/
How is that possible? Andrew Carnegie said the worm turned.
As has been mentioned before, not all those Republican early voters may be voting for Trump….
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303910-florida-poll-28-percent-of-gop-early-voters-picked
Even if that's a shade high it's still a lot more than in previous presidential elections.
Wonder how many of the crossover Republicans are "shy" HRC voters not showing up in polls.
DP that is a disturbing picture. One need not even squint much to see The Screaming Yam.
If the cloven hoof fits…
EW,
I think both of your assumptions about Clinton getting more support among her party and among independents are incorrect, but we will both know more in a week.
Look what happened in North Carolina:
A new WRAL/SurveyUSA pollshows that Donald Trump is now leading North Carolina by seven points ahead of Hillary Clinton — 51 percent to Clinton’s 44 percent.
That means that Trump has shockingly flipped his numbers in the state in just one month. Three weeks ago, Clinton was leading Trump by two points in the same poll – 46 percent to 44 percent.
Trump has now passed the 50 percent threshold, according to the poll, making it unlikely that Clinton will be able to bounce back. http://www.wral.com/wral-poll-trump-charges-ahead-in-nc/16183780/
The poll was conducted after the news that the FBI would revisit the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s email server.
Hey, dickhead. You're busted. More bad news for you:
From the Votemaster today:
"Not too much to see here, really. That North Carolina poll that puts Donald Trump up by 7 points is at odds with virtually every other poll of the Tar Heel State; we're not buying it."
http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2016/Pres/Maps/Nov02.html#item-13
You really suck at this disinformation stuff, pal. Got anything else you'd like us to "refudiate," you bald-faced liar and two-bit con artist?
Gee — maybe North Carolina will be close.
538.com's last 10 polls of North Carolina, by date, have a combined score of Clinton +2 — averaging out to a difference of 0.2%. The last two polls are SurveyUSA at Trump +7 and Survey Monkey at Clinton +7. Its estimate of Polls Only is Hillary Clinton 52.2%, Donald Trump 47.8%. Its Polls Plus estimate is Hillary Clinton 48.8% Donald Trump 51.2%.
Don't forget, North Carolina has a strong additional draw for Democrats and disgruntled Republicans this year. Their governor's race is going to bring in an awful lot of people who might not usually vote. McCrory wrecked the state's economy with HB2 and people there are plenty mad about it. There is an angry mob champing at the bit to toss McCrory out of the governor's mansion and there's a fair good chance he'll take Drumph down with him.
Solid point, cookie. It's ironic a way because The Screaming Yam actually invited Caitlin Jenner to pee in the pot of her choice at Trump tower and she took him up on the offer, albeit in a different Trump building. Trump is no great Champion of LGBT rights but at least doesn't join the potty patrols organized by his party. Alas, if there is a Trump administration, Mike Pence will actually run things like Cheney did for his equally dim witted running mate. And Pence hates LGBT folk almost as an organizing principle and beat North Carolina to the punch in passing a discriminatory law.
He did, V. But, Pence had the common sense to stem the economic tsunami that was building over SB101. He didn't fix it all, but he reined it in enough to keep it from wreaking the havoc HB2 has in NC. We'll know next week just how bad it's going to be for McCrory, but it ain't gonna be good.
I've spent a lot of time in NC this year. It's hard not to overstate the disgust for him amongst Carolinians.
Miami Herald for Hillary (and absolutely blistering against Drumpf):
http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/editorials/article108145747.html
Obama's team won tonight and there's a bunch of old white guys crying in the stands…
Dude, old white guys everywhere are crying with glee for the Cubs. My first team. Ernie Banks, Ron Santo, Lou Brock….
I was, in particular, referencing the losers last night! A foreshadowing? Great baseball last night!
Ah, sorry.
I hope 3 things for the Cleveland team. 1) that they change their logo, 2) that they then win it all, 3) that they are able to retain their team
Agree about the logo. There is no way that particular logo can be considered not offensive. It's a far cry from the dignified handsome Blackhawks logo or the logo of Littleton school district (but in Centennial) Arapahoe High, that school having a respectful relationship with the tribe. The Indians stupid looking grinning Indian has to go before I ever wish the team any luck.
As for the Cubs…. what a team! White Sox fans like me who have despised the Cubs all our lives are very uncharacteristically thrilled for our Cubbie fan friends and for this great team full of great guys. If this heralds an historic detente between Sox and Cubs fans in Chicago and beyond that will be about as big a deal as the end of the rift between the Catholic Church and the Protestants!
Really hard, even for Sox fans, not to love this team. Not because they finally won but because they really are such a great group of guys. And who in Colorado doesn't love seeing Dex Fowler become a world Series winner? Hated to see him go, so happy for him now.