CO-04 (Special Election)
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(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
April 22, 2009 12:07 AM UTC
20 Comments
but this should be some sort of wake up call to Udall & Obama, but particularly to Udall. Even though he’s not up for re-election for a while now, the beginning of his term is when the voters are going to create an image for him that he’ll carry throughout the rest of his term, and it will absolutely define his re-election hopes. Bottom line, it doesn’t seem to jive that Udall needs to be more moderate or liberal, his policy isn’t the problem because his policy hasn’t changed. However I do think he needs to be generating more buzz and excitement around himself — he needs to be more visible. During the campaign he was, of course, everywhere, on every TV, on the news and in conversation; helped by the monumental nature of the presidential election.
Now, unless he starts to generate some excitement among his voting bloc (democrats plus moderates) he’s going to wear the title “Udall the inert” all the way to re-election. And that is not going to be a good thing.
I wouldn’t give this poll any worry. Worry about Obama’s number in 2012. Worry about Udall’s in 2014.
I guess it’s relevant enough for the Pols to post, but I’m not going to fret until I see a poll on someone actually running in the next election.
Presidential Approval Index
04/21/2009
+2
04/20/2009
+3
04/19/2009
+6
04/18/2009
+7
04/17/2009
+3
04/16/2009
+4
04/15/2009
+2
04/14/2009
+3
04/13/2009
+2
04/12/2009
+2
04/11/2009
+5
04/10/2009
+5
04/09/2009
+5
and use a pollster other than Rassmussen to make your point about Obama’s approval rating. We’ve shown time and time again that it’s an obvious outlier among the polls, and Obama’s approval has remained steady in every other poll.
Once again, I’ll refer you to (Karl Rove-endorsed) RCP:
Every single other tracking poll has Obama’s spread at +20 or above. Rass is almost laughably outside of this at +9, but even then they have Obama at a 54% approval rating–hardly indicative of rioting in the streets.
The president’s approval rating has been around 60% since it dropped back down to reality from the 70s when he was inaugurated. Considering the state of the country when he took office, those numbers are nothing less than a clear endorsement of his job as chief executive.
Rasmussen showed Obama and Udall winning handily last fall.
Rasmussen showed a national generic ballot at D +7 just before the election last year. Pretty good predictor. Rasmussen now shows the generic tied.
Rasmussen looked good mainly because they weren’t an outlier then.
Now they are.
Deal with it.
but the indications are he is sliding.
Generally this would indicate an unsound mix of policy, performance and expectations. However, in this case we might see a reset to previous levels if CNN can learn to spin better or the economy starts to rebound.
But based on continuing concerns and ideas floating out of the Whitehouse, like bankrupting GM, many of those who supported the President are now questioning his campaign commitments.
This was clearly the theme today on 710 or 760 (the Boulder channel that carries Jay Marvin)
Of course Obama’s numbers are sliding. He’s been a dissappointment so far.
I was cautiously optomistic that we would actually see ‘change’ from him, but so far we have not.
All he’s done is:
In fact, the only ‘Change’ I’ve seen is our President flying around the world and apologizing for America. Not really what I want to see out of the leader of the free world.
http://coloradopols.com/showCo…
and maybe compactify your posts a little?
People who post using a lot
of bold
and
spread out
their
posts
into
sixteen
dozen
lines
look like
kooks.
Phone polls are so hokey as to be laughable, or is that laffable?
Who is home during the day to take phonecalls?
I don’t have a favorable view of Udall, but I would have driven through a small nuclear war to vote for him. So when it comes to who will win the election, the question you ask is important.
There was a poll last fall about Ken Salazar’s potential re-election, and while his favorable rating wasn’t great, in potential head-to-head matchups with Republican opponents he won easily.
Still, it’s strange that Udall got no honeymoon period.
A lot of people did not vote for Udall. They voted for “Obama supporter, Democrat, not-Schaffer guy.”
Betsy Markey faces the same question, but in her case she has & is putting in a really strong & effective effort to sell her constituents on herself.
Udall has gone back to the witness protection program and so when people were looking to see what they actually got, he’s gone.
there was someone running against Mark Udall?
Who?
Both-ways Bob?
Marianas Bob?
Idiot Bob?
My prediction is in 2014: Udall 63.4%.
Call me (+1.303.744.9024) in 5.5 years and I will buy the beer if my prediction is crap.
They are essentially glorified marketing gimmicks for a dodgy polling method. The only thing they do is create chatter.
Indeed, the self-referentiality of day-time favorabililty push polls is really just a test of how well spin machines are churning on both sides. Voter’s have no active role to play at this point, and so what we learn from this is that Independents are watching Fox again, rather than reading newspapers (the few that remain), reading leaflets, and talking to their neighbors. In the first 100 days, Dems have tried to stand on their agenda alone, while Repubs have invested time and energy in counter-branding Obama and anyone who stands with him. All this says to me is that Plouffe and Axelrod need to get busy again doing what they do best, and leave the governing to Obama and Emanuel.
Yes, Obama’s support is eroding. Yes, good conservatives and independents in Colorado are beginning to regret their votes for Udall. And the process will continue, but it won’t be them to suffer, at least not yet! Got to wait until 2012/2014 for that.
What did you lefties call Bush for the first four years? Ah yes. A “one term president.”
This is a a conservative nation.
And, as they admit, the reason they get much lower approval ratings than any other pollster.
People get pissed off at machines and give them pissed-off opinions.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
Nothing more. Not worth the paper it’s written on.
For the reasons set forth in the story.