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May 02, 2017 12:52 PM UTC

New Poll Shows Tough 2018 Road for Colorado Republicans

  • 12 Comments
  • by: Colorado Pols

Magellan Strategies, a Colorado-based polling firm that is known to lean-Republican, released a fresh new batch of polling numbers in Colorado today. For Republicans hoping to see better results after an awful Keating Research poll in March…

Well, let’s just say that things are looking up — but only because Republican numbers are essentially upside-down.

Magellan Strategies polled 502 “likely 2018 General Election voters in Colorado” on April 26 and 27, and the results are pretty dismal for Republicans. Take a look at some of the “key findings” as presented by Magellan:

♦ Among likely 2018 voters, 47% approve and 49% disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President. Among unaffiliated voters, 40% approve and 53% disapprove of the job he is doing.

♦ The generic Congressional ballot shows voters prefer the Democrat candidate to the Republican candidate by a 5-point margin, 39% to 34% respectively. Among unaffiliated voters, the generic Democrat candidate leads the generic Republican candidate by a 13-point margin, 34% to 21% respectively.

♦ Among all respondents, 34% approve of the job the Republicans in Congress are doing and 58% disapprove.

♦ Among likely 2018 voters, 40% approve of the job Senator Cory Gardner is doing, 37% disapprove, and 23% do not have an opinion. Among unaffiliated voters 37% approve of the job Senator Gardner is doing and 35% disapprove.

President Trump’s approval ratings are definitely upside-down in Colorado. Senator Cory Gardner (R-Yuma) is right on the precipice of being flipped on his head, but remember here that Magellan Strategies generally tilts rightward in its poll results.

Gardner should also be worried that he continues to poll far below Trump among likely Republican voters. In the Keating Research poll from March, Gardner had a 63% approval rating among Republicans compared to 83% for Trump. According to Magellan Strategies, Gardner has a 59% approval rating among Republicans compared to 85% for Trump. In short, Gardner is losing support among Colorado Republicans at the same time that Trump is slowly gaining favor.

There are a lot of reasons why Gardner is losing favor among voters, including Republicans, and it starts with his disinterest in speaking with constituents. It doesn’t help that Gardner is getting splinters in his pants from regularly riding the fence on issues while he bends over backward to show deference to Trump on subjects that are supposed to be right in his wheelhouse.

The only good news for Trump and Gardner is that they won’t have to appear again on a Colorado ballot until 2020. But for Republicans campaigning in 2018, these numbers must be absolutely terrifying.

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12 thoughts on “New Poll Shows Tough 2018 Road for Colorado Republicans”

    1. Relax dude. Lots of time between now and when campaigning gets serious. If I was in your shoes, I'd be much more concerned about Trump's continuing mis-steps. I continue to note that I had good reason to be a Republican Against Trump.

  2. Republican's can't legislate themselves out of a paper bag.  And are setting themselves up for serious losses next year:

    The prolonged GOP effort to upend Obamacare could push tax reform and other high-profile issues into 2018, an election year.

    The congressional GOP’s protracted efforts to repeal Obamacare could exact a heavy toll on the rest of Donald Trump’s legislative agenda.

    If repeal in the House is successful, action on some of the president's top legislative priorities is expected to be pushed back to late this year or even next year, when lawmakers will be up for reelection and more reluctant to cast tough votes. The delay also threatens to sap whatever Republican momentum remains from the election, in the midst of what’s often the most prolific stretch of a new presidency.

  3. Republicans will gain a few seats in the Senate, lose a few seats in the House and maintain their majority in both.  Dems continue their losing streak. 

      1. History and Reading Services, Inc.

        Dems have about 25 seats up in the Senate to about 10 for Republicans.

        In Congress majority party usually loses a few seats in off year elections.

        Those tend to be the big trend items that lead me to that conclusion.

        The Dems have shown no signs of expanding their base (you need to be pro-Abortion to be a Dem does not exactly expand the base) and their current base does not turn out well in off year elections.

        1. Trumps war on health care seems to have fired up the democratic base while kansas, georgia, prove Trump depresses Republican turnout.  As I both feared and predicted, a Trump presidency is very bad for America but good for the Democratic Party.

          1. Gerbils might not be so good with history (the party in power, even without a buffoon as incompetent and unpopular as Trump and his bozos, almost always loses seats in Congress in the mid-terms), but at least he answers when summoned by his aspirational name 🙂

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