According to the latest Gallup poll:
Republicans and Democrats are tied at 46% among registered voters in Gallup’s weekly tracking of congressional voting preferences, marking a shift after five consecutive weeks in which the Republicans held the advantage.
Our analysis? Exactly what we wrote earlier today: Trends won’t matter by Election Day (and it seems to us that there aren’t really “trends” anymore — just different results in different weeks). Either way, individual matchups will carry the day.
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Mwah!
Next week maybe it will be your turn again.
“We will bury you.” Am I speaking your language?
All you can say is, “Rah…rah…rah!”
I’ve been around here a lot longer than you, and let me make an observation: Every right wing cheerleader has slipped into the night after election day. Every….single…..one. Just like Kruchev’s line, “We will bury you!”
(Not people who otherwise actually contribute to the dialogue like Laughing Boy.)
It appears that humility will more likely ensure more of your candidates winning.
OTOH, keep it up! It ensure more Dem victories, apparently.
Hey GOPwarrior, do you think your black-and-white video would be better if it there weren’t any black in it? Still waiting…
Hey racist, why don’t you explain again how much better public schools were when they were racially segregated? Tell me again what you have against Brown v. Board of Education, please oh please.
I cited the work of a 1960s NAACP attorney. You’re making straw men, not me.
why he thinks the schools would be better off if Brown v. Board of Education had been decided the other way.
Do straw men burn as easily as crosses when you light them on fire on someone’s lawn?
Are you a commie or something?
GOPWarrior took off his shoe and banged it on the desk. He’s an old-style commie. He’s even got a five-year plan.
Its a dead heat between the GOP and Dems.
Time to backup your record by discussing all the citizen upsides of you policies favoring bailouts, nationalized healthcare, union card check, cap and trade, tax hikes, discriminatory regulatory oversight …….
and it looks like people just aren’t buying it.
Apparently not everyone has forgotten how you ran the country into the ground.
were in the Bush administration, ‘wad!
goat entrails be as equally enlightening, and as accurate a measure of anything as this particular poll?
Clearly, Democrats are fucked.
elected.
I’d go with Rasmussen. Yes, Rasmussen. Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen. I’m going to say it again… Rasmussen. You thought I was done? Nope. Rasmussen.
Rasmussen. 🙂
http://www.rasmussenreports.co…
Rasmussen says Republicans are up by 12. Who said that again? Rasmussen.
Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen, Rasmussen
Why doesn’t he do any lat minute, right before the actual voting polls?
One possibility is that he doesn’t because when the actual world deviates from his poll-world he likes to be able to say that things changed from his last poll to the vote.
It doesn’t prove he’s a bad pollster, but it does not support that he’s a good one.
Why no polls just before the actual vote?
Neither of you are big fans of those fact things. You’d rather just MSU and stubbornly stick with it despite reality. And neither of you can admit when you’re wrong…
You must have eaten handfuls of meds today.
this proves it.
I suspect your rasmussen fetish is enhanced by taking far too many prescription drugs.
(I hope you cleaned yourself up.)
You do know, you will fail the whiz quiz at the next “anonymous delusions” meeting.
http://schaffervudall.blogspot…
go fuck yourself you hack. you’re the guy who still thinks Maes has a beef brisket’s chance at a sedar of winning this thing (Happy Rosh Hashanah!)
http://www.associatedcontent.c…
also, how about this little doozy, mccain sure did come close to winning that thing in 2008, didn’t he?
only one poll counts, shithead.
tell him/her how you really feel!
🙂
could you tell me how Rasmussen predicted the Obama presidential election? That’s right, check your facts before you spew your ignorance out into blogspace.
If you answer this asshole, I will lose respect for you.
I’m just sayin’.
Wouldn’t want him to open his mouth and prove he’s a fool. But Ralphie can’t take his own advice so I wouldn’t worry about it Lemon.
Based on what, your hunch?
I subjected The Beej’s latest little expression of ignorance to my special “Full Reverse U.N. Tableaux” translator at Babelfish and was able to decipher this:
into this:
You’re welcome, again, CO Polsters.
I always suspected BJ was trying really hard to communicate something, but that his jibberish and blather kept getting in the way.
I wonder if his committee knows that.
They really ought to ask him about it during his orals.
But I suspect he is in a crowded field on that lack of knowledge. I’m sure ‘tad and H-Man will keep him company there.
Nobody cares.
I wonder if PPC kicked him out of their sandbox?
and then he outed Zorroillo or someone.
Must have been quite a disappointment for him. He was so depressed he didn’t leave his parent’s basement all weekend.
in November, which predicts a Republican House Majority, is based largely on the national generic matchup polling number, massaged to create a general election Congressional seat prediction.
It assumes, based on historical data that the GOP, as the party out of power, will see a huge surge in the polls in the last couple of months.
If this fails to manifest, the strong GOP advantage predicted based on generic polling disappears and the odds favor the Democrats retaining control.
here.
here.
Models for a Republican majority in the House assume a five point lead in the generic poll. At zero, that prediction falls apart.
I wonder how the national media will play this. All last week, all I heard was that, “Republicans are up by 10 in the Gallup poll! Democrats are DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”
Seriously, I wonder what the regional crosstabs look like. From what I understand, the only region where Republicans have an advantage is in the south (where they already control a majority of seats).
Why is this?
but it may be too subtle for some (Beej and H-Man, are you listening closely?)- the media might be…be… BIASED???