President (To Win Colorado)
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(D) Kamala Harris
(R) Donald Trump
80%↑
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) V. Archuleta
98%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Marshall Dawson
95%
5%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd
(D) Adam Frisch
50%
50%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert
(D) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank
(D) River Gassen
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) John Fabbricatore
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen
(R) Sergei Matveyuk
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
52%↑
48%↓
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
September 13, 2012 08:34 PM UTC
8 Comments
The one-percent change overall suggests one of a few things:
1) Republicans are coming home to Romney after being unsure back in late August
2) The poll sample has more Republicans
3) The poll results are weighted more toward Republicans
(2) or (3) could be due to a Likely Voter screen vs. Registered Voter screen switch between the two polls. E.g. Daily Kos switched their PPP polling from RV to LV during the convention, so Obama gained only a couple of points in their tracker vs. 5 points on average of all the trackers.
91% of respondents are likely voters.
21% make over $100k/year.
since they seem to be screening for likely voters, I wonder what criteria were used to include respondents that didn’t explicitly say they were likely to vote.
Likely voter polls that I’ve taken generally started with a question like “are you going to vote in November?” and saying no ended the interview. Perhaps they responded “not sure” rather than “no”
Obama is closing in on the magic 50% here in Colorado. It’s hard to win if your opponent collects an outright majority of support.
You can’t win the game if you don’t get more points than the other guy.
I’m just messing with you, politics make football look like checkers.
My canvassing in Arapahoe County confirms that unaffilateds are turning away from Romney, and slowly turning toward Obama.
I suspect the remaining unaffiliateds will make the switch to Obama when they conclude that Romney is unfit to be commander-in-chief. Romney’s latest attack on Obama will backfire badly with unaffiliateds. Colin Powell endorsing Obama for another term will seal the deal just like last time.
Now, Miklosi needs to tie Coffman to Romney to have a good chance in CD6.
come November, an angry old 1950’s teetotaling Republican with his head up his ass will stop annoying the shit out of virtually everyone, and will go back to annoying Ann and the help. Maybe he’ll take up a hobby. Idle hands are the devils workshop they say. Maybe building those fucking minature tall ships inside of bottles…” Ann, can’t you see I’m BUSY HERE ! “
Libby will be happy that the Ras tracker has Romney back on top of Obama. But they’re the only one, and after Mitt’s mega-gaffe yesterday, it might be short-lived.
NBC/WSJ/Marist had three swing-state polls out today with Obama leading nicely in OH and FL, and more closely in VA.
Oh – I got polled last night on the Presidential race; might be a private (R) poll, so I’m not expecting to see the results.