8 thoughts on “Get More Smarter on Tuesday (April 26)”

1. When I click on the links about the HRC/Bernie primary math I get that I’ve read my limit of free WashPost articles (never got that before) but there is a very good account of where the race stands with polls, graphs etc at 538:

   Clinton’s current lead — 235 pledged delegates — is still below her post-Ohio peak. But because there are relatively few states left to vote, she now needs only 41.6 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to clinch a pledged delegate majority, her lowest figure of the campaign to date. Sanders, conversely, will need 58.4 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to win a majority.

   http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/today-is-clintons-chance-to-end-the-groundhog-day-campaign/

   41.6% means she could theoretically lose most of the remaining big races as long as she doesn't lose them all by a lot while Sanders needs huge blow out wins, especially huge to counter any loss. She's polling ahead in most of them and he's not polling in blow out range for any of them so…..

   And about Bernie floating Warren for VP.  Does anyone know of she'd be interested in being Bernie's VP? I'm guessing that with Bernie's chances in the process of slipping from slim to none she probably isn't giving it much serious thought.

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   1. WaPo is really strict about that limit.

      Bernie doesn’t need all those pledged delegates. He’s launching his charm offensive to win the hearts and minds of the cursed and damned super delegates who will pull him through.

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2. Actually, polls only suggest Clinton winning the four closed primaries, with her most robust majorities in Maryland, Pennsylvania and Connecticut.  There is only one poll available in Delaware but it favors Clinton as does the closed primary.  Rhode Island has two polls, one showing a 10 point lead for Clinton, the other a four-point lead for Sanders.   But Rhode Island is the only open primary, where Sanders' appeal to unaffiliated voters could be decisive.   538 gives Sanders a 60 percent probability to win Rhode Island, with Hillary favored in the other four.   Even a 10 point victory by Bernie would yield him just 2 net delegates from Rhode Island's sparse total of 24 pledged.  But it would somewhat bolster his argument that his appeal to independents makes him the more electable in November.

   We will know the results in a few hours.  Warm up your popcorn poppers!

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   1. Bernie wins RI, narrowly loses CT and DE to HRC. HRC wins yugge in PA and MD. She fattens her delegate lead by another 45 pledged delegates. 

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3. WHY EVERYBODY HATES THE LAMESTREAM MEDIA, CHAPTER 586,821

   I was stuck on hold for about an hour and had MSNBC ON, WHICH HAD Jane Sanders as a guest.   I sometimes had the sound on, sometimes just saw the crawls.  There were  three main themes:

   A:

   When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie? 

   B

   Some sort of document from Bernie's camp may have used the word "traitor" though while the crawl used it explicitly, when I moved back and turned sound on, it appeared that may have been MSNBC's term for the memo's use of "aid and comfort" which is in the Constitution to describe treason in a completely different context.   Are we clear on that?

   Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie?Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie?Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie?Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie?Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie? Who ja calling' a traitor, Bernie?

   C:  The New York Times says bernie will reassess his campaign after tonight's vote is in.

   Jane Sanders:  Campaigns always reassess after every milestone.  But why don't we wait until the votes are actually in tonight before speculating on what conclusions may be drawn.

    

   MSNBC

   When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie? When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?  When ja gonna quit, Bernie?

    

   Well, thanks for being here today, Jane.  We need to switch to Indiana where we will ask John Kasich when he's gonna quit.

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   1. Pretty much what you get 24/7. One thing they harp on all day. I missed who it was but heard the middle of an NPR interview with somebody in between home and store in my car saying that Jon Stewart on the fake news was the best interviewer he ever faced . He said all the real news interviewers just had a script of questions and if you told them in the middle of an interview that you had just killed your parents on the way to the studio they would have ignored it and stuck with their scripted list, moving on to the next question whether or not they ever got an answer to the previous one.

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   2. Both Bernie and Hillary are playing the Trump card for all it's worth. The "traitor" reference was from a Sanders fundraising email which quoted a Clinton surrogate, Hakeem Jeffries, who recently accused Sanders of providing "aid and comfort" to Donald Trump.

      So "giving aid and comfort" is in fact the historic British legal language used to describe traitors, and is hence loaded language used by Hillary's surrogates, but is very far from either campaign making a direct accusation of treason.

       

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      1. Hang them all and let the lord sort it out!

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