U.S. Senate
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(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
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(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
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(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
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(D) George Stern
(D) A. Gonzalez
(R) Sheri Davis
40%
40%
30%
State Treasurer
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(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
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(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
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(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
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(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
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(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
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(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
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(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
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(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
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(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
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DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 08, 2013 01:46 PM UTC
7 Comments
2014 is shaping up.
Personhood, recalls, Buck, Coffman (who needs a flip-floppy, buck-pedalish nickname).
WHo can the D's put up in CD3?
I 'm a believer – voters aren't dumb enough to just keep sending Tipton.
Not dumb enough? Spent time in Mesa County lately?
And just who do you think might beat Tipton?
That makes as much sense as Giron claiming vote suppression.
No mail in IS voter suppression.
And Giron was correct. My only disagreement with others on this is that it was enough to account for 12 point loss. It wasn't but it was real and it very much did account for the Morse loss.
Personhood and abortion were probably a factor in driving conservative, pro-life voters to the polls in Pueblo's recall election, but I think Personhood USA's Keith Mason is wrong in claiming it as a major factor. The NRA got its people out, based on their propaganda that the moderate gun legislation was a "slippery slope" to gun confiscation. Liberal Dems did not get our base to the polls the way we needed to, mostly because of the lack of mail-in-ballots.
"Personhood" was an issue, albeit a minor one. The first pieces of evidence I have on this are anecdotal:
Pueblo is a very Catholic town. The three ethnic groups which made up most of the steelworkers in the town's heyday were Italian, Mexican, and Slavic. Guess which religion predominated among those?
So many of my middle school and high school students wear the little rosary icon bracelets, come to school with ashes on foreheads during Lent. When abortion comes up as a writing or debate topic, I get vitriolic essays about selfish sluts from the girls. Many of my neighbors go to Mass more than once a week.
Now, Catholics use birth control and access abortions as much as anyone else – but they don't brag or make political points about it. It's a private, hidden thing. So, as I've said ad nauseum on here, I think we Dems were overdoing it with the 6-8 mailers of the sad and angry women, whom Rivera would deny access to birth control and abortion. We could and should have emphasized other issues (water, guns). But apparently, emphasizing "personhood" was what the Dems push poll said to do.
Personhood voters are also gun-rights voters.
Conservative and moderate voters definitely came out to vote. The liberal base did not. The PPP poll the weekend before the recall polled 597 voters, 72% of whom were moderate to very conservative. 62% were older than 46, and about half were Democrats, who had voted for Obama in 2012. 58% were female.
I would guess that this is the same demographic (with fewer Democrats than Republicans plus Unaffiliated) that showed up to vote in Pueblo September 10. The PPP poll did not ask any reproductive rights questions. The most striking poll result was the 53% approval of the NRA, which says to me that these folks were moved by the NRA propaganda ("They're a'comin' to getcher guns!")
So my takeaway from reviewing this poll is that it's impossible to untangle or uncouple concern for gun owners from concern for the unborn "person". "Personhood" proponents know that the gun rights loyalists also support "personhood".
In Pueblo, most of the 53% NRA loyalists who showed up to vote in the recall were likely also strong advocates of personhood and against abortion. Only 27% of those who wanted stricter gun laws on the SurveyUSA poll also wanted to keep abortion legal.
This seems counterintuitive and ironic to me – children are dying from gun violence all over America. But if they're not actually in the womb, only liberal Democrats seem to care.
. . . a whole lotta' Papists in Pueblo — even/especially among the D's. Was this the decideing factor? – No! Was it a factor on some level? – Undoubtedly!