CO-04 (Special Election)
See Full Big Line
(R) Greg Lopez
(R) Trisha Calvarese
90%
10%
President (To Win Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Biden*
(R) Donald Trump
80%
20%↓
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
90%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
90%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(D) Adam Frisch
(R) Jeff Hurd
(R) Ron Hanks
40%
30%
20%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert
(R) Deborah Flora
(R) J. Sonnenberg
30%↑
15%↑
10%↓
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Dave Williams
(R) Jeff Crank
50%↓
50%↑
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
90%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) Brittany Pettersen
85%↑
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(R) Gabe Evans
(R) Janak Joshi
60%↑
35%↓
30%↑
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
October 06, 2014 05:05 PM UTC
12 Comments
So #SenatorQuidProKoch is losing the Moderates, the 18-29-ers, the 30-44's, the 44-65's, Women and the Hispanics. What could possibly go wrong on election day?
But but troll ac said the trend was going gardners way and moddy said that the next poll would show a bigger gardner lead – how could they be wrong?
…it's that 'silent majority' that's going to rise up! on election day and take our state back: the angry, old white guys (which he is taking by a one-point margin).
Plus Michael this is the first all mail-in ballot election since election reform passed so a Republicans can't count on low turn out by Democrats in a non-presidential election. They might have had some loopholes for recall elections but the all mail-in ballot elections might turn out to be even more important than the gun regulation legislation.
Which is why the same people are up in arms about both. (See Head, Victor. Marks, Marilyn. Gessler, Scott. Williams, Wayne. Rivera, George. Neville, _____ (fill in blank) Brown, Dudley). Etc.
The gunheads were always all about the guns – but the GOP money people were about taking control of the state legislature. They still are.
Angela Giron was recalled not really for her gun legislative votes, although that mobilized the base, but primarily for her advocacy and support for HB1303, the Voter Acdess and Modernized Elections Act, which brought us all mail ballots, and has made Colorado a model for other states seeking to minimize voter suppression and increase voter turnout.
. . . the great, white wave?
Translation of the MoE: Udall is way outside the MoE. The polls is badly skewed with less people using landlines… and more on the cellphones.
My guess? Udall is really a +13. He'll win easily over Gardner by a comfortable margin and won't even trail at all.
I dunno, it wouldn't surprise me at all if election night 2014 looked a lot like election night 2010 for Colorado's Senate race.
Not at all. I predict another sorry under-performance by Colorado Rs regardless of how well Rs do elsewhere.
No Udall is NOT outside the MoE. Pols is correct that the MoE is expressed +/- a given percentage, meaning the MoE for this 3% MoE poll is SIX POINTS.
This is one of the most annoying and common errors out there, even reporters make it. Let's please be accurate on the political wonk blog, ok?
puppy, as your soul sistah, please do try to keep your optimism reasonable. The glass is half full, not overflowing and magically refilling itself.
Or cite your sources, and say how you come to the conclusions you do.
I do think we as Democrats have reason for optimism on keeping the Senate. Six out of nine Senators on this Yougov poll were Democrats leading their opponents.
Even the redstate conservatives had to admit that, although you won't hear them doing the arithmetic and coming up with "six out of nine Dems leading".
But we're not taking the US House this year. Picking up thirty four seats is not doable. We will, however, narrow it down to a 20 or so gap, I predict.
I got called for that poll, I had fun. Bunch of Coffman lies repeated, how did that affect my opinion? Still a liar, didn't change my opinion on that. Saw 2 new positive ads for the Hick and Udall, liked 'em both. Udall needs to smile more.